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720 figures

Active Subsidy Incidence by Complementarity Tier

Active Subsidy Incidence by Complementarity Tier

Paper 1CES Potential
Active Subsidy: Comp Index vs Deep Subsidy (Spearman)

Active Subsidy: Comp Index vs Deep Subsidy (Spearman)

Paper 1CES Potential
Aggregation Gradient

Aggregation Gradient

Paper 1Foundations
Aggregation Invariance

Aggregation Invariance

Paper 1Foundations
Aggregation Puzzle: Oberfield Raval Comparison

Aggregation Puzzle: Oberfield Raval Comparison

Paper 1Foundations
Aggregation Puzzle: Plant Level Sigma Distribution

Aggregation Puzzle: Plant Level Sigma Distribution

Paper 1Foundations
Aggregation Puzzle: Reallocation Decomposition

Aggregation Puzzle: Reallocation Decomposition

Paper 1Foundations
Aggregation Puzzle: Sector Level Sigma

Aggregation Puzzle: Sector Level Sigma

Paper 1Foundations
AIC Crossover Test: CES vs Translog by Aggregation Level

AIC Crossover Test: CES vs Translog by Aggregation Level

Paper 1Foundations
Anti-Network Platforms: Lower Specificity

Anti-Network Platforms: Lower Specificity

Paper 1CES Potential
Auction Revenue Competition

Auction Revenue Competition

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Broda-Weinstein Benchmark: Macro vs Micro Sigma

Broda-Weinstein Benchmark: Macro vs Micro Sigma

Paper 1entry-exit
CES Aggregation: Gini U-Shape in rho

CES Aggregation: Gini U-Shape in rho

Paper 1Curvature Roles
CES Aggregation: Kurtosis Explosion at rho > 1

CES Aggregation: Kurtosis Explosion at rho > 1

Paper 1Curvature Roles
CES Curvature K*Var(s) vs Output Volatility

CES Curvature K*Var(s) vs Output Volatility

Paper 1Curvature Roles
CES Emergence: Fit Quality Across Aggregation Levels

CES Emergence: Fit Quality Across Aggregation Levels

Paper 1Foundations
CES Emergence: Rho Stability Across Aggregation

CES Emergence: Rho Stability Across Aggregation

Paper 1Foundations
CES Emergence: Translog Interaction Decay

CES Emergence: Translog Interaction Decay

Paper 1Foundations
CES Goodness of Fit Across NAICS Aggregation Levels

CES Goodness of Fit Across NAICS Aggregation Levels

Paper 1Foundations
CES Inequality: Sigma vs Gini (Bivariate + Partial Regression)

CES Inequality: Sigma vs Gini (Bivariate + Partial Regression)

Paper 1potential
CES Rho Preserved Across Aggregation Levels

CES Rho Preserved Across Aggregation Levels

Paper 1Foundations
CES Rho Stability Across NAICS Aggregation Levels

CES Rho Stability Across NAICS Aggregation Levels

Paper 1Foundations
CES vs Translog Convergence Horse Race (Combined)

CES vs Translog Convergence Horse Race (Combined)

Paper 1Foundations
Constant Elasticity Test (CES predicts b2=0)

Constant Elasticity Test (CES predicts b2=0)

Paper 1entry-exit
Correlation Convergence: Curvature Conservation (Log-Product Stability)

Correlation Convergence: Curvature Conservation (Log-Product Stability)

Paper 1Foundations
Correlation Convergence: Linear vs Exponential Functional Form

Correlation Convergence: Linear vs Exponential Functional Form

Paper 1Foundations
Correlation Convergence: Stress vs Price Ratio and Quantity Dispersion

Correlation Convergence: Stress vs Price Ratio and Quantity Dispersion

Paper 1Foundations
Correlation Robustness K-squared

Correlation Robustness K-squared

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Correlation Robustness: AIC K^2 Rho Dispersion

Correlation Robustness: AIC K^2 Rho Dispersion

Paper 1Foundations
Correlation Robustness: K-Squared Panel Interaction

Correlation Robustness: K-Squared Panel Interaction

Paper 1Foundations
Correlation Robustness: Partial Correlation with K

Correlation Robustness: Partial Correlation with K

Paper 1Foundations
Correlation Robustness: Within-OECD Share Rebalancing

Correlation Robustness: Within-OECD Share Rebalancing

Paper 1Foundations
Cross-Side Pass-Through Calibration: Implied rho

Cross-Side Pass-Through Calibration: Implied rho

Paper 1CES Potential
Cross-State Labor Share Distribution

Cross-State Labor Share Distribution

Paper 1macro
Diversity Encoding: CES Residual Tracks Sector Dispersion

Diversity Encoding: CES Residual Tracks Sector Dispersion

Paper 1Foundations
Estimation Paradox: Cross-Sectional SE vs Fisher Info, Share Variance, Balance

Estimation Paradox: Cross-Sectional SE vs Fisher Info, Share Variance, Balance

Paper 1Foundations
Estimation Paradox: MLE (Escort Distribution)

Estimation Paradox: MLE (Escort Distribution)

Paper 1Foundations
Euler VRI 4Digit

Euler VRI 4Digit

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Extreme-J Comparison: Low vs High Diversity Groups

Extreme-J Comparison: Low vs High Diversity Groups

Paper 1Foundations
FA-CES Crossover: Factor Augmentation vs Translog (KLEM J=4)

FA-CES Crossover: Factor Augmentation vs Translog (KLEM J=4)

Paper 1Foundations
Factor Share Rebalancing Intensity vs Curvature K

Factor Share Rebalancing Intensity vs Curvature K

Paper 1Foundations
Fiedler Vector Vulnerability (Pending)

Fiedler Vector Vulnerability (Pending)

Paper 1Hierarchy
Fiedler Vector Vulnerability: Crisis vs Calm

Fiedler Vector Vulnerability: Crisis vs Calm

Paper 1Hierarchy
Fisher Info Scaling: J_eff vs Productivity Dispersion

Fisher Info Scaling: J_eff vs Productivity Dispersion

Paper 1Foundations
Geodesic Momentum Test: No Inertia in Share Dynamics

Geodesic Momentum Test: No Inertia in Share Dynamics

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Implied ETI from Historical US Top Marginal Rates

Implied ETI from Historical US Top Marginal Rates

Paper 1macro
Input Diversity vs Output Volatility (CES Hedging)

Input Diversity vs Output Volatility (CES Hedging)

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Literature ETI Estimates: Bar Chart with Sigma<2 Threshold

Literature ETI Estimates: Bar Chart with Sigma<2 Threshold

Paper 1macro
Market Structure: Firm Size vs Sigma

Market Structure: Firm Size vs Sigma

Paper 1entry-exit
Merger Premium (PENDING)

Merger Premium (PENDING)

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Model Comparison: CES Curvature vs Generic Diversity

Model Comparison: CES Curvature vs Generic Diversity

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Natural Gradient: Slerp vs Linear RSS by Phase

Natural Gradient: Slerp vs Linear RSS by Phase

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Non-CES Deviation Decay Under Aggregation (Log-Log Slope)

Non-CES Deviation Decay Under Aggregation (Log-Log Slope)

Paper 1Foundations
Panel FE: Within-Country Variety Effect

Panel FE: Within-Country Variety Effect

Paper 1entry-exit
Panel K x Dispersion Interaction (Country FE)

Panel K x Dispersion Interaction (Country FE)

Paper 1Foundations
Pareto Tail Parameter Estimates from IRS Data

Pareto Tail Parameter Estimates from IRS Data

Paper 1macro
Per-Year Cross-Sectional Correlations Distribution

Per-Year Cross-Sectional Correlations Distribution

Paper 1Foundations
Prudence Locking (Pending)

Prudence Locking (Pending)

Paper 1Foundations
Random vs NAICS Block Averaging: Interaction Ratio Decay

Random vs NAICS Block Averaging: Interaction Ratio Decay

Paper 1Foundations
Recession Severity on the Share Manifold

Recession Severity on the Share Manifold

Paper 1Curvature Roles
RG Flow: Block-Size Scaling (k=2,3,4 at depth=4)

RG Flow: Block-Size Scaling (k=2,3,4 at depth=4)

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: CES/Non-CES Decomposition — Only Non-CES Decays

RG Flow: CES/Non-CES Decomposition — Only Non-CES Decays

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: Depth Scaling of Translog Decay (k=2, depths 3-6)

RG Flow: Depth Scaling of Translog Decay (k=2, depths 3-6)

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: Emergent ρ_eff Stability Across Depths

RG Flow: Emergent ρ_eff Stability Across Depths

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: Multi-Seed Robustness (10 Seeds)

RG Flow: Multi-Seed Robustness (10 Seeds)

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: Noise Scale Invariance of Decay Ratio

RG Flow: Noise Scale Invariance of Decay Ratio

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: Non-CES Residual Noise Invariance (Total vs Decomposed)

RG Flow: Non-CES Residual Noise Invariance (Total vs Decomposed)

Paper 1Foundations
RG Flow: Translog Interaction Decay Under Tree Aggregation

RG Flow: Translog Interaction Decay Under Tree Aggregation

Paper 1Foundations
Rho Dispersion Channel (25 sectors, controlled)

Rho Dispersion Channel (25 sectors, controlled)

Paper 1Foundations
Rolling Geometric Scaling: Prediction Distance vs Theta

Rolling Geometric Scaling: Prediction Distance vs Theta

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Rolling Slerp vs Linear: All Quarters (N=20 Windows)

Rolling Slerp vs Linear: All Quarters (N=20 Windows)

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Saez Optimal Tax Rate vs ETI with US Calibration

Saez Optimal Tax Rate vs ETI with US Calibration

Paper 1macro
Semi-Endogenous Growth: First-Difference Elasticity

Semi-Endogenous Growth: First-Difference Elasticity

Paper 1entry-exit
Share Volatility Scaling: Fisher-Rao Metric Validation

Share Volatility Scaling: Fisher-Rao Metric Validation

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Slerp-Linear Difference vs Theta: O(theta^2) Scaling Test

Slerp-Linear Difference vs Theta: O(theta^2) Scaling Test

Paper 1Curvature Roles
Smirl Curve

Smirl Curve

Paper 1Foundations
Subsidy Depth: Net Transfers by Complementarity

Subsidy Depth: Net Transfers by Complementarity

Paper 1CES Potential
Temperance Ratio (PENDING)

Temperance Ratio (PENDING)

Paper 1ces-foundations
Trade Network Laplacian Eigenvalue Spectrum

Trade Network Laplacian Eigenvalue Spectrum

Paper 1Hierarchy
Translog Interaction Decay Under NAICS Aggregation

Translog Interaction Decay Under NAICS Aggregation

Paper 1Foundations
Two-Sided Pricing: Active Subsidy Incidence by Tier

Two-Sided Pricing: Active Subsidy Incidence by Tier

Paper 1CES Potential
Two-Sided Pricing: Fee Subsidy vs Complementarity

Two-Sided Pricing: Fee Subsidy vs Complementarity

Paper 1CES Potential
Two-Sided Pricing: Subsidy Depth by Complementarity

Two-Sided Pricing: Subsidy Depth by Complementarity

Paper 1CES Potential
U1 Isotropy BEA

U1 Isotropy BEA

Paper 1Foundations
Variety-Output Elasticity (Cross-Country Levels)

Variety-Output Elasticity (Cross-Country Levels)

Paper 1entry-exit
WGI-Controlled Quadratic: Institutional Quality Absorbs b2

WGI-Controlled Quadratic: Institutional Quality Absorbs b2

Paper 1entry-exit
6-Month Ahead Crisis Prediction: Null Distribution

6-Month Ahead Crisis Prediction: Null Distribution

Paper 2potential
Akerlof Banking GFC: ARI x PMI Interaction and Placebos

Akerlof Banking GFC: ARI x PMI Interaction and Placebos

Paper 2CES Potential
Akerlof Banking Placebo: ARI x PMI Specificity

Akerlof Banking Placebo: ARI x PMI Specificity

Paper 2CES Potential
Akerlof Prediction Test

Akerlof Prediction Test

Paper 2CES Potential
Arrow Prediction Test

Arrow Prediction Test

Paper 2CES Potential
Automation Adoption Priority (Pending)

Automation Adoption Priority (Pending)

Paper 2potential
BEA IT Capital Share vs Cross-Sector Dispersion

BEA IT Capital Share vs Cross-Sector Dispersion

Paper 2potential
Bootstrap CI for LOW-HIGH Markup Gap

Bootstrap CI for LOW-HIGH Markup Gap

Paper 2CES Potential
Bootstrap Distribution of ρ×NFCI Interaction Coefficient

Bootstrap Distribution of ρ×NFCI Interaction Coefficient

Paper 2potential
Bridge Ratio vs Welfare Loss per Dispersion

Bridge Ratio vs Welfare Loss per Dispersion

Paper 2potential
Category Dummies OLS (Paper 5 Column 4)

Category Dummies OLS (Paper 5 Column 4)

Paper 2CES Potential
CD Flatness: Distance from Unit Elasticity vs Factor Share Instability

CD Flatness: Distance from Unit Elasticity vs Factor Share Instability

Paper 2potential
CES Prudence: Complementarity vs Inventory Buffer

CES Prudence: Complementarity vs Inventory Buffer

Paper 2Foundations
CES Substitutability vs Volatility After Controlling for Input Count

CES Substitutability vs Volatility After Controlling for Input Count

Paper 2potential
Complement Dominance: Allocative Share vs Sigma

Complement Dominance: Allocative Share vs Sigma

Paper 2potential
Contract Intensity vs Vertical Integration

Contract Intensity vs Vertical Integration

Paper 2applications
Cross-Domain: Occupation vs Input Concentration

Cross-Domain: Occupation vs Input Concentration

Paper 2entry-exit
Cross-Sectional IP Variance as Crisis Signal

Cross-Sectional IP Variance as Crisis Signal

Paper 2potential
Cycle-Controlled Gap Trend

Cycle-Controlled Gap Trend

Paper 2potential
Durability Interaction Permutation Test

Durability Interaction Permutation Test

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
ECI vs Institutional Quality (WGI Composite)

ECI vs Institutional Quality (WGI Composite)

Paper 2applications
Effective Curvature Interaction: ECI * WGI on GDP

Effective Curvature Interaction: ECI * WGI on GDP

Paper 2applications
Efficiency-Fragility: Expansion vs Recession Severity

Efficiency-Fragility: Expansion vs Recession Severity

Paper 2dynamics
Efficiency-Fragility: GFC Crisis Sequence Timeline

Efficiency-Fragility: GFC Crisis Sequence Timeline

Paper 2dynamics
Efficiency-Fragility: Pre-Crisis Calm vs Recession Severity

Efficiency-Fragility: Pre-Crisis Calm vs Recession Severity

Paper 2dynamics
Efficiency-Fragility: Sectoral Asymmetry

Efficiency-Fragility: Sectoral Asymmetry

Paper 2dynamics
Eigenvalue Concentration Over Time

Eigenvalue Concentration Over Time

Paper 2potential
Endpoint Decade Eigenvalue Concentration Comparison

Endpoint Decade Eigenvalue Concentration Comparison

Paper 2potential
Export Variety vs Institutional Quality

Export Variety vs Institutional Quality

Paper 2applications
Fine-Grained 3-Digit NAICS Classification

Fine-Grained 3-Digit NAICS Classification

Paper 2CES Potential
Free Energy Decomposition: Substitutability vs Diversity Deficit

Free Energy Decomposition: Substitutability vs Diversity Deficit

Paper 2potential
GARCH Robustness: Raw vs Standardized Residual LR Statistics

GARCH Robustness: Raw vs Standardized Residual LR Statistics

Paper 2potential
HO vs CES: COVID Shipping Complementarity-Fragility

HO vs CES: COVID Shipping Complementarity-Fragility

Paper 2Trade
HO vs CES: GFC Complementarity-Fragility

HO vs CES: GFC Complementarity-Fragility

Paper 2Trade
HO vs CES: Gravity (Total GDP + Year FE) vs Factor Model

HO vs CES: Gravity (Total GDP + Year FE) vs Factor Model

Paper 2Trade
HO vs CES: Grubel-Lloyd IIT Index

HO vs CES: Grubel-Lloyd IIT Index

Paper 2Trade
HO vs CES: Trade Collapse Complementarity-Fragility

HO vs CES: Trade Collapse Complementarity-Fragility

Paper 2Trade
Horse Race: CI + Sigma Jointly Predict Integration

Horse Race: CI + Sigma Jointly Predict Integration

Paper 2applications
ICT Adoption Growth vs Input Variety (EU KLEMS)

ICT Adoption Growth vs Input Variety (EU KLEMS)

Paper 2potential
ICT Capital Share vs Input Variety (EU KLEMS)

ICT Capital Share vs Input Variety (EU KLEMS)

Paper 2potential
IP Decline by Sector × Recession (sorted by σ)

IP Decline by Sector × Recession (sorted by σ)

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
IT Advantage Gap Persistence Across Decades

IT Advantage Gap Persistence Across Decades

Paper 2potential
IT Input Intensity vs Input Variety (BEA Detail)

IT Input Intensity vs Input Variety (BEA Detail)

Paper 2potential
IT vs Non-IT Cross-Sector Dispersion

IT vs Non-IT Cross-Sector Dispersion

Paper 2potential
K_eff Concavity: Steeper ECI-WGI Slope Below WGI=0

K_eff Concavity: Steeper ECI-WGI Slope Below WGI=0

Paper 2applications
K_eff Crisis DID: H×Crisis Interaction (D11a)

K_eff Crisis DID: H×Crisis Interaction (D11a)

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
K_eff Crisis DID: Pair + Episode Fixed Effects

K_eff Crisis DID: Pair + Episode Fixed Effects

Paper 2dynamics
K_eff Crisis: Crisis Episode Slopes with CIs (D11c)

K_eff Crisis: Crisis Episode Slopes with CIs (D11c)

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
K_eff Crisis: Episode H-Slopes Comparison (D11b)

K_eff Crisis: Episode H-Slopes Comparison (D11b)

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
K_eff Crisis: VIX Continuous T Proxy

K_eff Crisis: VIX Continuous T Proxy

Paper 2dynamics
K_eff Degradation: ANFCI Robustness Check

K_eff Degradation: ANFCI Robustness Check

Paper 2CES Potential
K_eff Degradation: High-K vs Low-K Sector Split

K_eff Degradation: High-K vs Low-K Sector Split

Paper 2CES Potential
K_eff Degradation: NFCI vs Eigenvalue Concentration

K_eff Degradation: NFCI vs Eigenvalue Concentration

Paper 2CES Potential
K_eff Direct Test: NFCI vs 1-Perp Dispersion

K_eff Direct Test: NFCI vs 1-Perp Dispersion

Paper 2CES Potential
K_eff Eigenvalue Signal: Dispersion Ratio and PC1 Share

K_eff Eigenvalue Signal: Dispersion Ratio and PC1 Share

Paper 2potential
K_eff Threshold Test: Piecewise Regression

K_eff Threshold Test: Piecewise Regression

Paper 2CES Potential
K_eff: Energy Diversity x WGI Interaction

K_eff: Energy Diversity x WGI Interaction

Paper 2Hierarchy
K_eff: Energy Transition and Institutional Quality

K_eff: Energy Transition and Institutional Quality

Paper 2Hierarchy
K_eff: Institutions and Renewables Share

K_eff: Institutions and Renewables Share

Paper 2Hierarchy
K_eff: Institutions Predict Energy Transition Speed

K_eff: Institutions Predict Energy Transition Speed

Paper 2Hierarchy
K_eff: Panel WGI Predicts Transition Rate

K_eff: Panel WGI Predicts Transition Rate

Paper 2Hierarchy
Labor Beveridge Curves

Labor Beveridge Curves

Paper 2CES Potential
Labor Complementarity Index

Labor Complementarity Index

Paper 2CES Potential
Labor Matching: Aggregate Matching Efficiency vs NFCI

Labor Matching: Aggregate Matching Efficiency vs NFCI

Paper 2applications
Labor Matching: Cross-Sectional Alpha (Exploratory)

Labor Matching: Cross-Sectional Alpha (Exploratory)

Paper 2CES Potential
Labor Matching: NFCI Sensitivity vs I-O Complementarity

Labor Matching: NFCI Sensitivity vs I-O Complementarity

Paper 2applications
Labor: Beveridge Curve Slope and Complementarity

Labor: Beveridge Curve Slope and Complementarity

Paper 2applications
Labor: Vacancy Yield and Matching Efficiency

Labor: Vacancy Yield and Matching Efficiency

Paper 2applications
Laffer Curve: Panel Sensitivity, TCJA SALT, and Monetary Tightening

Laffer Curve: Panel Sensitivity, TCJA SALT, and Monetary Tightening

Paper 2potential-framework
Management Complementarity (PENDING)

Management Complementarity (PENDING)

Paper 2CES Potential
Monetary Tightening Sensitivity by Input Concentration (BEA I-O HHI)

Monetary Tightening Sensitivity by Input Concentration (BEA I-O HHI)

Paper 2potential-framework
NFCI Horse Race: Joint Logit Coefficients

NFCI Horse Race: Joint Logit Coefficients

Paper 2potential
Noise Tolerance: High-ρ vs Low-ρ Sectors Under NFCI Stress

Noise Tolerance: High-ρ vs Low-ρ Sectors Under NFCI Stress

Paper 2potential
Noise Tolerance: Spearman Split by Rho Group

Noise Tolerance: Spearman Split by Rho Group

Paper 2potential
OLS Residuals: Curvature K vs Log Inventory-to-Sales

OLS Residuals: Curvature K vs Log Inventory-to-Sales

Paper 2Foundations
Optimal Firm Scope (PENDING)

Optimal Firm Scope (PENDING)

Paper 2CES Potential
Optimal Scope: Input Diversity vs Sigma

Optimal Scope: Input Diversity vs Sigma

Paper 2entry-exit
Orthogonality of Allocative and Redistributive Channels

Orthogonality of Allocative and Redistributive Channels

Paper 2potential
Polynomial vs Log-Log Functional Form (K^2 Theory Test)

Polynomial vs Log-Log Functional Form (K^2 Theory Test)

Paper 2Foundations
Pricing Asymmetry Scatter

Pricing Asymmetry Scatter

Paper 2CES Potential
Pricing vs Complementarity

Pricing vs Complementarity

Paper 2CES Potential
Procurement POIC Boxplot

Procurement POIC Boxplot

Paper 2CES Potential
Procurement POIC Coefficients

Procurement POIC Coefficients

Paper 2CES Potential
Procurement POIC Competition

Procurement POIC Competition

Paper 2CES Potential
Procurement POIC OLS with Contract Type Control

Procurement POIC OLS with Contract Type Control

Paper 2CES Potential
Procurement POIC Scatter

Procurement POIC Scatter

Paper 2CES Potential
Productivity Dispersion vs CES Curvature (NBER-CES)

Productivity Dispersion vs CES Curvature (NBER-CES)

Paper 2Foundations
Pythagorean Welfare Additivity

Pythagorean Welfare Additivity

Paper 2potential
Recession Depth vs Elasticity (17 sectors × 7 recessions)

Recession Depth vs Elasticity (17 sectors × 7 recessions)

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
Recession Onset Leading Indicator: Pre-Onset Variance

Recession Onset Leading Indicator: Pre-Onset Variance

Paper 2potential
Recession Ordering: Durable vs Nondurable Interaction

Recession Ordering: Durable vs Nondurable Interaction

Paper 2Dynamics & Crises
Regime Diagram

Regime Diagram

Paper 2CES Potential
rho-Diversity vs HHI: Matched Concentration Measure

rho-Diversity vs HHI: Matched Concentration Measure

Paper 2potential
Rho-Profile: Welfare Geometry vs Trade Elasticity Identification

Rho-Profile: Welfare Geometry vs Trade Elasticity Identification

Paper 2potential
Rule of Law vs ECI: With and Without Income Control

Rule of Law vs ECI: With and Without Income Control

Paper 2applications
Rule of Law vs Economic Complexity

Rule of Law vs Economic Complexity

Paper 2applications
Scope vs Sigma (Size-Controlled)

Scope vs Sigma (Size-Controlled)

Paper 2entry-exit
Search Duration vs Occupation Diversity

Search Duration vs Occupation Diversity

Paper 2entry-exit
Search Duration vs Occupation HHI

Search Duration vs Occupation HHI

Paper 2entry-exit
Shannon vs Tsallis Entropy for Volatility Prediction

Shannon vs Tsallis Entropy for Volatility Prediction

Paper 2potential
Sigma vs Vertical Integration

Sigma vs Vertical Integration

Paper 2applications
Size-Matched Non-IT Bootstrap Distribution

Size-Matched Non-IT Bootstrap Distribution

Paper 2potential
T Overidentification: OLS Log-Log Scatter

T Overidentification: OLS Log-Log Scatter

Paper 2ces-foundations
T Overidentification: Spearman Rank Correlation

T Overidentification: Spearman Rank Correlation

Paper 2ces-foundations
T Overidentification: Within-Group Correlation

T Overidentification: Within-Group Correlation

Paper 2ces-foundations
T-Digitization: Cycle-Controlled Gap Trend

T-Digitization: Cycle-Controlled Gap Trend

Paper 2potential
Trade Rho T Diagram

Trade Rho T Diagram

Paper 2CES Potential
Tsallis Tail Distribution: QQ Plots and LR Statistics

Tsallis Tail Distribution: QQ Plots and LR Statistics

Paper 2potential
Tsallis Tails: q-Rho Regression

Tsallis Tails: q-Rho Regression

Paper 2potential
Two Sided Pricing: Complementarity Bins

Two Sided Pricing: Complementarity Bins

Paper 2CES Potential
Two Sided Pricing: Durbin Amendment

Two Sided Pricing: Durbin Amendment

Paper 2CES Potential
Variance Crisis Signal: Cross-Sectional IP Variance

Variance Crisis Signal: Cross-Sectional IP Variance

Paper 2potential
Welfare Composition Shift During Financial Stress

Welfare Composition Shift During Financial Stress

Paper 2potential
Within-Group Pairwise Correlation: IT vs Non-IT

Within-Group Pairwise Correlation: IT vs Non-IT

Paper 2potential
Accumulation Tests

Accumulation Tests

Paper 3Macroeconomics
After-Tax Real Return Time Series

After-Tax Real Return Time Series

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Aggregate ρ̄(t) with NBER Recessions

Aggregate ρ̄(t) with NBER Recessions

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
BEA 71x71 Leontief Inverse: Symmetry Structure

BEA 71x71 Leontief Inverse: Symmetry Structure

Paper 3dynamics
Bivariate VAR Pair-Level Symmetry (T/K~36)

Bivariate VAR Pair-Level Symmetry (T/K~36)

Paper 3dynamics
Bivariate VAR vs Leontief I-O Structure

Bivariate VAR vs Leontief I-O Structure

Paper 3dynamics
Broad Economy Eigenvalue Dominance (65 BEA Industries)

Broad Economy Eigenvalue Dominance (65 BEA Industries)

Paper 3Foundations
Broad Economy Variance vs VA Share (65 BEA Industries)

Broad Economy Variance vs VA Share (65 BEA Industries)

Paper 3Foundations
Budget Identity, Saez Optimal Rate, and Corporate Profit Share

Budget Identity, Saez Optimal Rate, and Corporate Profit Share

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Business Cycle Predictions: Combined Verdicts

Business Cycle Predictions: Combined Verdicts

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
CES Aggregation: PCE Category Dispersion

CES Aggregation: PCE Category Dispersion

Paper 3Macroeconomics
CES Curvature |σ-1| vs Factor Share Volatility

CES Curvature |σ-1| vs Factor Share Volatility

Paper 3dynamics
CES Equicorrelation: IP Sector Correlation Matrix

CES Equicorrelation: IP Sector Correlation Matrix

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
CES Isotropy: Benchmark Detail (402 industries)

CES Isotropy: Benchmark Detail (402 industries)

Paper 3Foundations
CES Precautionary Savings Channel

CES Precautionary Savings Channel

Paper 3Macroeconomics
COLI: 1-Perp Price Spreads vs Quantity Indicators

COLI: 1-Perp Price Spreads vs Quantity Indicators

Paper 3dynamics
Comin Muligan Tanisotropy

Comin Muligan Tanisotropy

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Eigenvalue Dominance

Compound Symmetry: Eigenvalue Dominance

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Equicorrelation

Compound Symmetry: Equicorrelation

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Implied Parameters

Compound Symmetry: Implied Parameters

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Marchenko-Pastur Comparison

Compound Symmetry: Marchenko-Pastur Comparison

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Sub-Period Stability

Compound Symmetry: Sub-Period Stability

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Summary Figure

Compound Symmetry: Summary Figure

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Variance Heterogeneity (General Weights)

Compound Symmetry: Variance Heterogeneity (General Weights)

Paper 3Foundations
Compound Symmetry: Variance-Share Correlation (General Weights)

Compound Symmetry: Variance-Share Correlation (General Weights)

Paper 3Foundations
Conservation Law Dynamics: Coupling vs Portfolio Volatility

Conservation Law Dynamics: Coupling vs Portfolio Volatility

Paper 3dynamics
Constant-ρ Curvature Artifact R² Scan (BEA K)

Constant-ρ Curvature Artifact R² Scan (BEA K)

Paper 3dynamics
Contraction vs Recovery Speed Ratio per Recession

Contraction vs Recovery Speed Ratio per Recession

Paper 3dynamics
COVID 2020 Falsification: K vs Recession Depth

COVID 2020 Falsification: K vs Recession Depth

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
CPI Dispersion Persistence by NFCI Regime

CPI Dispersion Persistence by NFCI Regime

Paper 3dynamics
CPI Dispersion Persistence vs NFCI

CPI Dispersion Persistence vs NFCI

Paper 3dynamics
CPI Leading Indicator: Detection Asymmetry

CPI Leading Indicator: Detection Asymmetry

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Crisis Count: NFCI Correlation and Recession Spacing Regularity

Crisis Count: NFCI Correlation and Recession Spacing Regularity

Paper 3dynamics
Crisis Count: Recession Frequency by Kondratieff Wave and Great Moderation

Crisis Count: Recession Frequency by Kondratieff Wave and Great Moderation

Paper 3dynamics
Crisis Sequence: Financial Correlations vs Output

Crisis Sequence: Financial Correlations vs Output

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Crisis Sequence: Input Correlations Lead Output

Crisis Sequence: Input Correlations Lead Output

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Crisis Sequence: PPI Input Correlations Lead Output Declines

Crisis Sequence: PPI Input Correlations Lead Output Declines

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Cross-Country GFC Eigenvalue Concentration Surge

Cross-Country GFC Eigenvalue Concentration Surge

Paper 3dynamics
Cross-Country: Manufacturing Share vs Phillips Slope

Cross-Country: Manufacturing Share vs Phillips Slope

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Cross-Industry: Cyclical Sensitivity vs Complementarity

Cross-Industry: Cyclical Sensitivity vs Complementarity

Paper 3dynamics
Cross-Industry: Recession Depth and Recovery vs Complementarity

Cross-Industry: Recession Depth and Recovery vs Complementarity

Paper 3dynamics
CUSUM Test on Sector Concentration (Herfindahl Index)

CUSUM Test on Sector Concentration (Herfindahl Index)

Paper 3Curvature Roles
Cyclical Rho: Correlation Proxy vs Business Cycle

Cyclical Rho: Correlation Proxy vs Business Cycle

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Deficit Leads CPI Dispersion Cross-Correlation

Deficit Leads CPI Dispersion Cross-Correlation

Paper 3dynamics
Deficit vs CPI Dispersion Scatter

Deficit vs CPI Dispersion Scatter

Paper 3dynamics
Directed Coupling: IRF Asymmetry vs BEA Supply Chain Direction

Directed Coupling: IRF Asymmetry vs BEA Supply Chain Direction

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Discount Gap Components

Discount Gap Components

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Dot-Com Placebo: No Eigenvalue Concentration Change (2001)

Dot-Com Placebo: No Eigenvalue Concentration Change (2001)

Paper 3dynamics
Duration Asymmetry: Expansion/Contraction Ratio

Duration Asymmetry: Expansion/Contraction Ratio

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Dynamic vs Static Laffer Peak

Dynamic vs Static Laffer Peak

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Early Warning: K vs Pre-Crisis AR(1) Change

Early Warning: K vs Pre-Crisis AR(1) Change

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Early Warning: K vs Pre-Crisis Variance Change

Early Warning: K vs Pre-Crisis Variance Change

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Early Warning: K vs Pre-Recession AR(1) Level

Early Warning: K vs Pre-Recession AR(1) Level

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Eigenmode Diagonality Test (Weighted VRI)

Eigenmode Diagonality Test (Weighted VRI)

Paper 3Foundations
Eigenvalue Concentration vs Financial Stress (NFCI)

Eigenvalue Concentration vs Financial Stress (NFCI)

Paper 3dynamics
Eigenvalue Concentration: Recession vs Expansion

Eigenvalue Concentration: Recession vs Expansion

Paper 3dynamics
EMD Tech Waves

EMD Tech Waves

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Activation Cascades

Endogenous Diversity: Activation Cascades

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Cascade Timing

Endogenous Diversity: Cascade Timing

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Discontinuous Adoption

Endogenous Diversity: Discontinuous Adoption

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Entry Rate Dynamics vs Financial Stress

Endogenous Diversity: Entry Rate Dynamics vs Financial Stress

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Exponential Fragility

Endogenous Diversity: Exponential Fragility

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Fold Diagnostics

Endogenous Diversity: Fold Diagnostics

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Fold Forecast Dashboard

Endogenous Diversity: Fold Forecast Dashboard

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Fold Forecast Forward

Endogenous Diversity: Fold Forecast Forward

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Fold Forecast Rho

Endogenous Diversity: Fold Forecast Rho

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Hysteresis

Endogenous Diversity: Hysteresis

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Leading Indicator (NFCI)

Endogenous Diversity: Leading Indicator (NFCI)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Leontief I-O Cascades

Endogenous Diversity: Leontief I-O Cascades

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Monthly JOLTS Hires vs NFCI Leading Indicator

Endogenous Diversity: Monthly JOLTS Hires vs NFCI Leading Indicator

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Structural Breaks in Firm Count Growth

Endogenous Diversity: Structural Breaks in Firm Count Growth

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Supply Friction

Endogenous Diversity: Supply Friction

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Supply Side Friction

Endogenous Diversity: Supply Side Friction

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Diversity: Upstream Reform

Endogenous Diversity: Upstream Reform

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous N_eff

Endogenous N_eff

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Endogenous Rho: Entry Channel Lagged Correlations

Endogenous Rho: Entry Channel Lagged Correlations

Paper 3dynamics
Endogenous Rho: Entry/Exit Channel

Endogenous Rho: Entry/Exit Channel

Paper 3dynamics
Endogenous Rho: HP-Detrended Entry vs Rho Trends

Endogenous Rho: HP-Detrended Entry vs Rho Trends

Paper 3dynamics
Endogenous Rho: Manufacturing rho_bar (O-R)

Endogenous Rho: Manufacturing rho_bar (O-R)

Paper 3dynamics
Endogenous Rho: Reallocation Channel

Endogenous Rho: Reallocation Channel

Paper 3dynamics
Endogenous Rho: Regulation Channel

Endogenous Rho: Regulation Channel

Paper 3dynamics
Entry Rate Hysteresis: Decline vs Recovery Asymmetry

Entry Rate Hysteresis: Decline vs Recovery Asymmetry

Paper 3Curvature Roles
Euler Equation: Consumption Growth vs Return

Euler Equation: Consumption Growth vs Return

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Euler Factor Identity: RTS vs CES Curvature

Euler Factor Identity: RTS vs CES Curvature

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Euler Factor Identity: RTS vs External K (Oberfield-Raval 2021)

Euler Factor Identity: RTS vs External K (Oberfield-Raval 2021)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Euler IES Tests

Euler IES Tests

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Expansion/Contraction Duration Ratio per NBER Cycle

Expansion/Contraction Duration Ratio per NBER Cycle

Paper 3dynamics
Expansion/Contraction Ratio Stability: Pre vs Post 1990

Expansion/Contraction Ratio Stability: Pre vs Post 1990

Paper 3dynamics
Fdt Tech Waves

Fdt Tech Waves

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Federal Deficit and CPI Dispersion Time Series

Federal Deficit and CPI Dispersion Time Series

Paper 3dynamics
Federal Deficit vs Cross-Sector VA Dispersion

Federal Deficit vs Cross-Sector VA Dispersion

Paper 3dynamics
Fiedler Distance vs GDP Synchronization (Comtrade)

Fiedler Distance vs GDP Synchronization (Comtrade)

Paper 3Hierarchy
Fiscal Injection x Targeting Intensity → CPI Dispersion

Fiscal Injection x Targeting Intensity → CPI Dispersion

Paper 3dynamics
Fiscal-Supply Interaction: Deficit and CPI by Supply Stress

Fiscal-Supply Interaction: Deficit and CPI by Supply Stress

Paper 3dynamics
Fold Forecast: Combined Dashboard

Fold Forecast: Combined Dashboard

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Fold Forecast: COVID Out-of-Sample

Fold Forecast: COVID Out-of-Sample

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Fold Forecast: Dot-com Out-of-Sample

Fold Forecast: Dot-com Out-of-Sample

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Fold Forecast: GFC Out-of-Sample

Fold Forecast: GFC Out-of-Sample

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Fold Synchronization: Fraction of Sectors Declining

Fold Synchronization: Fraction of Sectors Declining

Paper 3Curvature Roles
Fold Threshold Crossings: Recession vs Normal Years

Fold Threshold Crossings: Recession vs Normal Years

Paper 3Curvature Roles
Fold Threshold vs CES Curvature

Fold Threshold vs CES Curvature

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Free Energy Waves

Free Energy Waves

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: ACF Timescales

FV: ACF Timescales

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Auto Historical

FV: Auto Historical

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Crisis Sequence

FV: Crisis Sequence

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Critical Slowing

FV: Critical Slowing

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Cross Domain

FV: Cross Domain

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Cross Industry

FV: Cross Industry

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Degradation Rates

FV: Degradation Rates

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Effective Curvature

FV: Effective Curvature

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Eigenvalue

FV: Eigenvalue

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: GPT Spillover

FV: GPT Spillover

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Granger

FV: Granger

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Hysteresis

FV: Hysteresis

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Leadlag

FV: Leadlag

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Lifecycle Synthesis

FV: Lifecycle Synthesis

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Maturity

FV: Maturity

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: PC1 Loading

FV: PC1 Loading

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Recovery

FV: Recovery

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Rho Ordering

FV: Rho Ordering

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Spectral

FV: Spectral

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: SSA Rd

FV: SSA Rd

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Steel Historical

FV: Steel Historical

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Temporal Emergence

FV: Temporal Emergence

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Timescale Span

FV: Timescale Span

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Cross Coherence

FV: Wavelet Cross Coherence

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Dominant Period

FV: Wavelet Dominant Period

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Energy Bands

FV: Wavelet Energy Bands

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Grand Scalogram

FV: Wavelet Grand Scalogram

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Historical

FV: Wavelet Historical

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Sector Comparison

FV: Wavelet Sector Comparison

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Wavelet Sector Energy

FV: Wavelet Sector Energy

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
FV: Within Sector

FV: Within Sector

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Geometric Mean Period: Calibration Accuracy (Relative Error Distribution)

Geometric Mean Period: Calibration Accuracy (Relative Error Distribution)

Paper 3dynamics
Geometric Mean Period: Predicted vs Actual Oscillation Periods

Geometric Mean Period: Predicted vs Actual Oscillation Periods

Paper 3dynamics
GFC Collapse Warning

GFC Collapse Warning

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
GFC Phase Space

GFC Phase Space

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
GFC Prediction

GFC Prediction

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
GFC Us Dashboard

GFC Us Dashboard

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Great Moderation: INDPRO Volatility Reduction

Great Moderation: INDPRO Volatility Reduction

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Green Transition: Bimodality

Green Transition: Bimodality

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Green Transition: Three Group Ordering

Green Transition: Three Group Ordering

Paper 3Macroeconomics
H1: Exit Rate as Leading Indicator of Stress

H1: Exit Rate as Leading Indicator of Stress

Paper 3entry-exit
H2: Entry-Exit Asymmetry Cross-Correlation

H2: Entry-Exit Asymmetry Cross-Correlation

Paper 3entry-exit
H3: Minsky Overexpansion Cross-Correlation

H3: Minsky Overexpansion Cross-Correlation

Paper 3entry-exit
H4: Weekly Initial Claims Leading Indicator

H4: Weekly Initial Claims Leading Indicator

Paper 3entry-exit
H5: Regime-Dependent Granger Causality

H5: Regime-Dependent Granger Causality

Paper 3entry-exit
H6: Entry-Exit Asymmetry Ratio vs (2-ρ)

H6: Entry-Exit Asymmetry Ratio vs (2-ρ)

Paper 3entry-exit
H7a: Network Friction Correction Spearman Curve

H7a: Network Friction Correction Spearman Curve

Paper 3entry-exit
H7b: I-O Network Density vs Asymmetry Residual

H7b: I-O Network Density vs Asymmetry Residual

Paper 3entry-exit
Higher Cumulant: Skewness Control Effect

Higher Cumulant: Skewness Control Effect

Paper 3Macroeconomics
I-O Antisymmetric Decomposition: Excluding Government/Housing

I-O Antisymmetric Decomposition: Excluding Government/Housing

Paper 3potential-framework
I-O Antisymmetric Decomposition: Full Sample

I-O Antisymmetric Decomposition: Full Sample

Paper 3potential-framework
I-O Antisymmetric Ratio: Disaggregation Effect (68 vs 384 Sectors)

I-O Antisymmetric Ratio: Disaggregation Effect (68 vs 384 Sectors)

Paper 3potential-framework
I-O Antisymmetric Ratio: Temporal Stability (2017 vs 2022)

I-O Antisymmetric Ratio: Temporal Stability (2017 vs 2022)

Paper 3potential-framework
I-O Matrix Decomposition: Antisymmetric vs Symmetric Norms

I-O Matrix Decomposition: Antisymmetric vs Symmetric Norms

Paper 3dynamics
I-O Upstreamness vs ARRA Demand Response

I-O Upstreamness vs ARRA Demand Response

Paper 3dynamics
ICT Capital Excess Growth at Perez Turning Points

ICT Capital Excess Growth at Perez Turning Points

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
ICT Capital Excess Growth: Installation vs Deployment Phases

ICT Capital Excess Growth: Installation vs Deployment Phases

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
IES Point Estimate with 95% CI

IES Point Estimate with 95% CI

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Implied rho vs Output Cycle

Implied rho vs Output Cycle

Paper 3dynamics
Inflation per Unit Fiscal Deficit: COVID vs GFC

Inflation per Unit Fiscal Deficit: COVID vs GFC

Paper 3dynamics
Information Temperature as Leading Indicator

Information Temperature as Leading Indicator

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Input Concentration vs ARRA Demand Shock Sensitivity

Input Concentration vs ARRA Demand Shock Sensitivity

Paper 3dynamics
Input Concentration vs Recovery Speed (Non-Contact Sectors)

Input Concentration vs Recovery Speed (Non-Contact Sectors)

Paper 3dynamics
Investment Channel: GDI vs Capital Growth

Investment Channel: GDI vs Capital Growth

Paper 3Macroeconomics
IRF Asymmetry Decay Toward Onsager Symmetry

IRF Asymmetry Decay Toward Onsager Symmetry

Paper 3dynamics
Jarzynski Reversibility (PENDING)

Jarzynski Reversibility (PENDING)

Paper 3dynamics
Job Destruction Rate Asymmetry: Spikes vs Normalizations

Job Destruction Rate Asymmetry: Spikes vs Normalizations

Paper 3Curvature Roles
K x Supply Stress: Recovery Speed (GFC vs COVID)

K x Supply Stress: Recovery Speed (GFC vs COVID)

Paper 3dynamics
Kernel Structure of Antisymmetric Coupling Matrix

Kernel Structure of Antisymmetric Coupling Matrix

Paper 3dynamics
Manufacturing Monthly Eigenmode Diagonality

Manufacturing Monthly Eigenmode Diagonality

Paper 3Foundations
Manufacturing Monthly Sub-Period Stability

Manufacturing Monthly Sub-Period Stability

Paper 3Foundations
Mc Convergence Diagnosis

Mc Convergence Diagnosis

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Mean Recession Depth by Sector (ordered by K)

Mean Recession Depth by Sector (ordered by K)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Minsky Asymmetry: Factor Share Adjustment Speed

Minsky Asymmetry: Factor Share Adjustment Speed

Paper 3dynamics
Minsky Pattern: Rolling rho by Cycle Phase

Minsky Pattern: Rolling rho by Cycle Phase

Paper 3dynamics
Minsky Speed Ratio Decomposition

Minsky Speed Ratio Decomposition

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Minsky Trap: Easy Conditions Predict Deeper Recessions

Minsky Trap: Easy Conditions Predict Deeper Recessions

Paper 3dynamics
Minsky Trap: Pre-Recession NFCI vs Recession Depth

Minsky Trap: Pre-Recession NFCI vs Recession Depth

Paper 3dynamics
Minsky ρ-Shift Excluding COVID

Minsky ρ-Shift Excluding COVID

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Minsky ρ-Shift: 12m Pre-Recession Drift vs Depth

Minsky ρ-Shift: 12m Pre-Recession Drift vs Depth

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Multi-Year Robustness: Antisymmetric Magnitude Across BEA Years

Multi-Year Robustness: Antisymmetric Magnitude Across BEA Years

Paper 3dynamics
NBER Recessions Ranked by Depth (colored by pre-NFCI)

NBER Recessions Ranked by Depth (colored by pre-NFCI)

Paper 3dynamics
New Tech Low Rho (PENDING)

New Tech Low Rho (PENDING)

Paper 3dynamics
NFCI Regime Split: Euler Bias by Financial Conditions

NFCI Regime Split: Euler Bias by Financial Conditions

Paper 3Macroeconomics
NFCI vs Rho-bar: Cross-Correlogram and Time Series

NFCI vs Rho-bar: Cross-Correlogram and Time Series

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
NPV of Perpetual Tax Revenue

NPV of Perpetual Tax Revenue

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Oberfield-Raval Rho-bar V-Shape: 2001 (Theory) vs 1983 (Validation)

Oberfield-Raval Rho-bar V-Shape: 2001 (Theory) vs 1983 (Validation)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
OECD Cross-Country Tax Structure: Ramsey Ordering

OECD Cross-Country Tax Structure: Ramsey Ordering

Paper 3Macroeconomics
OLS Bias Decomposition

OLS Bias Decomposition

Paper 3Macroeconomics
P3 P4 P5 Diagnosis

P3 P4 P5 Diagnosis

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Pairwise Correlation vs Sector Size (General-Weight CES)

Pairwise Correlation vs Sector Size (General-Weight CES)

Paper 3Foundations
PCE Spending Concentration vs CPI Dispersion

PCE Spending Concentration vs CPI Dispersion

Paper 3dynamics
Perez Direction Test: ICT/Internet 2001 vs Random Turning Points

Perez Direction Test: ICT/Internet 2001 vs Random Turning Points

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Perez Limit Cycle: (rho, T) Phase Plane Direction

Perez Limit Cycle: (rho, T) Phase Plane Direction

Paper 3dynamics
Perez Limit Cycle: Cross-Correlation Sign Test

Perez Limit Cycle: Cross-Correlation Sign Test

Paper 3dynamics
Perez Limit Cycle: Phase Classification

Perez Limit Cycle: Phase Classification

Paper 3dynamics
Perez Limit Cycle: rho-NFCI Cross-Correlation

Perez Limit Cycle: rho-NFCI Cross-Correlation

Paper 3dynamics
Perez Phase Plane (excl GFC 2007-09)

Perez Phase Plane (excl GFC 2007-09)

Paper 3dynamics
Permutation Null Distributions for VAR-Leontief Correlation

Permutation Null Distributions for VAR-Leontief Correlation

Paper 3dynamics
Phillips Curve Slope Trend

Phillips Curve Slope Trend

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Phillips Curve Slope vs CES Curvature K-bar (Within-US)

Phillips Curve Slope vs CES Curvature K-bar (Within-US)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Phillips Curve Slope vs K-bar: 51 US States

Phillips Curve Slope vs K-bar: 51 US States

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Phillips Curve Slope vs K-bar: Cross-Country (Headline vs Core CPI)

Phillips Curve Slope vs K-bar: Cross-Country (Headline vs Core CPI)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Phillips Curve Slope vs Sector K: 68 BEA Industries

Phillips Curve Slope vs Sector K: 68 BEA Industries

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Phillips Slope Pre-2020 (COVID Removed)

Phillips Slope Pre-2020 (COVID Removed)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Piketty Condition r > g Time Series

Piketty Condition r > g Time Series

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Post-WWII Business Cycle Expansion/Contraction Durations

Post-WWII Business Cycle Expansion/Contraction Durations

Paper 3dynamics
Pre-Recession Co-movement Intensification

Pre-Recession Co-movement Intensification

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Pre-Recession Eigenvalue Trend (12-month windows)

Pre-Recession Eigenvalue Trend (12-month windows)

Paper 3dynamics
Properly-Timed Euler: Lagged Return and NFCI

Properly-Timed Euler: Lagged Return and NFCI

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Ramsey Inverse-Elasticity Test

Ramsey Inverse-Elasticity Test

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Ramsey Tax Ordering Stability Over Time (BEA NIPA 1997–2025)

Ramsey Tax Ordering Stability Over Time (BEA NIPA 1997–2025)

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Recession Depth Distribution

Recession Depth Distribution

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Recession Depth vs CES Curvature K

Recession Depth vs CES Curvature K

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Recession Ordering vs Elasticity

Recession Ordering vs Elasticity

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Recession-FE OLS: Depth vs K (Demeaned)

Recession-FE OLS: Depth vs K (Demeaned)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Recovery Half-Life vs CES Curvature K

Recovery Half-Life vs CES Curvature K

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Recovery Speed vs CES Curvature K

Recovery Speed vs CES Curvature K

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Revenue Decomposition by Elasticity

Revenue Decomposition by Elasticity

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Rho Vshape Technology

Rho Vshape Technology

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Rho-bar Cycle Period Sensitivity to Window Size

Rho-bar Cycle Period Sensitivity to Window Size

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Rho-bar Diagnostics: Structural Break + Autocorrelation

Rho-bar Diagnostics: Structural Break + Autocorrelation

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Rho-Ordering of Sectoral Crises: Sector-Level

Rho-Ordering of Sectoral Crises: Sector-Level

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Rho-Ordering: Pooled Across Sector-Recession Pairs

Rho-Ordering: Pooled Across Sector-Recession Pairs

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Rolling ρ from BEA K and BLS Labor Share

Rolling ρ from BEA K and BLS Labor Share

Paper 3dynamics
Sector Elasticities (Broda-Weinstein)

Sector Elasticities (Broda-Weinstein)

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Sector rho vs Speed Asymmetry (CES-Specific Test)

Sector rho vs Speed Asymmetry (CES-Specific Test)

Paper 3dynamics
Sector Tax Rates (BEA)

Sector Tax Rates (BEA)

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Sector-Averaged K vs Recession Depth (N=14)

Sector-Averaged K vs Recession Depth (N=14)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Sectoral Ramsey Tests

Sectoral Ramsey Tests

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Secular Equation Eigenvalue Ordering

Secular Equation Eigenvalue Ordering

Paper 3Foundations
Shark Fin Contraction Shape: First vs Second Half Decline

Shark Fin Contraction Shape: First vs Second Half Decline

Paper 3dynamics
Solow Variance Decomposition: Curvature Artifact

Solow Variance Decomposition: Curvature Artifact

Paper 3dynamics
Standardization Rate (PENDING)

Standardization Rate (PENDING)

Paper 3dynamics
Structural Rho from Factor Shares vs Output Gap

Structural Rho from Factor Shares vs Output Gap

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Subsample Stability: Dynamics Spearman in Each Half

Subsample Stability: Dynamics Spearman in Each Half

Paper 3dynamics
Tax Channel: Pre-Tax vs After-Tax Return

Tax Channel: Pre-Tax vs After-Tax Return

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Tax Revenue Decomposition and Effective Tax Rates (BEA NIPA 2022)

Tax Revenue Decomposition and Effective Tax Rates (BEA NIPA 2022)

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Trade Spectral Gap λ₂ vs GDP Synchronization Time Series

Trade Spectral Gap λ₂ vs GDP Synchronization Time Series

Paper 3Hierarchy
Two Factor CES: Euler Exhaustion Ratio

Two Factor CES: Euler Exhaustion Ratio

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Two Factor CES: Labor Share vs Productivity

Two Factor CES: Labor Share vs Productivity

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Two Factor CES: National Rho Estimation

Two Factor CES: National Rho Estimation

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Universal Exponent Test (gamma=1)

Universal Exponent Test (gamma=1)

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
US GDI Growth Rate Time Series

US GDI Growth Rate Time Series

Paper 3Macroeconomics
V-Shape Comparison: NFCI Peaks vs Perez Turning Points

V-Shape Comparison: NFCI Peaks vs Perez Turning Points

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
V-Shape rho at Technology Wave Turning Points

V-Shape rho at Technology Wave Turning Points

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
VAR Eigenvalue Spectrum

VAR Eigenvalue Spectrum

Paper 3dynamics
VAR-Leontief Structural Correlation

VAR-Leontief Structural Correlation

Paper 3dynamics
Variance-Response Identity: σ² vs χ Cross-Section

Variance-Response Identity: σ² vs χ Cross-Section

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
VRI Test: Consumption Variance vs NFCI

VRI Test: Consumption Variance vs NFCI

Paper 3Macroeconomics
Wave Learning Rates

Wave Learning Rates

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Wavelet Deep History

Wavelet Deep History

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Wavelet GPT Regimes

Wavelet GPT Regimes

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Wavelet Tech Decomposition

Wavelet Tech Decomposition

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
Within-Sector Variance-AR(1) Co-movement

Within-Sector Variance-AR(1) Co-movement

Paper 3Dynamics & Crises
ρ-Ordering of Recession Depth by Industry σ

ρ-Ordering of Recession Depth by Industry σ

Paper 3dynamics
Bottleneck Upstream Dominance

Bottleneck Upstream Dominance

Paper 4applications
Crisis Duration: Combined Subtest Verdicts

Crisis Duration: Combined Subtest Verdicts

Paper 4dynamics
Crisis Duration: d=1 vs d=2 Wave Duration Ratio

Crisis Duration: d=1 vs d=2 Wave Duration Ratio

Paper 4dynamics
Crisis Duration: IP Recovery vs Learning Rate

Crisis Duration: IP Recovery vs Learning Rate

Paper 4dynamics
Crisis Duration: Recession Depth vs Learning Rate

Crisis Duration: Recession Depth vs Learning Rate

Paper 4dynamics
Eigenvector Concentration by Outlier Eigenvalue

Eigenvector Concentration by Outlier Eigenvalue

Paper 4Hierarchy
EMD vs Spectral Hierarchy Depth Cross-Validation

EMD vs Spectral Hierarchy Depth Cross-Validation

Paper 4Hierarchy
Fastest Layer Persistence: Jorda Local Projections

Fastest Layer Persistence: Jorda Local Projections

Paper 4Hierarchy
Firm Size vs Entry Rate (BDS Cross-Sectoral)

Firm Size vs Entry Rate (BDS Cross-Sectoral)

Paper 4entry-exit
Growth Rate Dispersion Convergence

Growth Rate Dispersion Convergence

Paper 4applications
I-O Jacobian Triangularity: FRED IP Half-Life Ordering

I-O Jacobian Triangularity: FRED IP Half-Life Ordering

Paper 4Hierarchy
I-O Jacobian Triangularity: Ordering Method Comparison

I-O Jacobian Triangularity: Ordering Method Comparison

Paper 4Hierarchy
I-O Jacobian Triangularity: Permutation Test (Rowsum vs Random)

I-O Jacobian Triangularity: Permutation Test (Rowsum vs Random)

Paper 4Hierarchy
I-O Jacobian Triangularity: Rowsum Ordering Heatmap

I-O Jacobian Triangularity: Rowsum Ordering Heatmap

Paper 4Hierarchy
IQR Fence Sensitivity: Outlier Count vs Multiplier

IQR Fence Sensitivity: Outlier Count vs Multiplier

Paper 4Hierarchy
Leontief Eigenvalue Distribution with Outlier Fence

Leontief Eigenvalue Distribution with Outlier Fence

Paper 4Hierarchy
Leontief Eigenvalue Spectrum with Cluster Boundaries

Leontief Eigenvalue Spectrum with Cluster Boundaries

Paper 4Hierarchy
Log-Eigenvalue Gap Distribution

Log-Eigenvalue Gap Distribution

Paper 4Hierarchy
Neff Innovation Cycle (PENDING)

Neff Innovation Cycle (PENDING)

Paper 4Hierarchy
Permutation Null Distribution for Outlier Eigenvalue Count

Permutation Null Distribution for Outlier Eigenvalue Count

Paper 4Hierarchy
R0 Cross Layer Activation (PENDING)

R0 Cross Layer Activation (PENDING)

Paper 4Hierarchy
Recession Recovery Duration: d=1 vs d=2 Sectors

Recession Recovery Duration: d=1 vs d=2 Sectors

Paper 4dynamics
Sector Layers: Comp vs Metals Spectra

Sector Layers: Comp vs Metals Spectra

Paper 4Hierarchy
Sector Layers: Rolling N_eff

Sector Layers: Rolling N_eff

Paper 4Hierarchy
Sector Layers: Spectral Correlation

Sector Layers: Spectral Correlation

Paper 4Hierarchy
Sector Layers: Time Averaged Spectra

Sector Layers: Time Averaged Spectra

Paper 4Hierarchy
Sector Scalograms

Sector Scalograms

Paper 4Hierarchy
Silhouette Scores by Cluster Count k

Silhouette Scores by Cluster Count k

Paper 4Hierarchy
Supply Chain Growth Gap Convergence

Supply Chain Growth Gap Convergence

Paper 4applications
Trade Conservation Laws (PENDING)

Trade Conservation Laws (PENDING)

Paper 4Hierarchy
Two-Term Duration Decomposition: Drift + Fold Passage

Two-Term Duration Decomposition: Drift + Fold Passage

Paper 4dynamics
Upstream Industries Grow Slower

Upstream Industries Grow Slower

Paper 4applications
Upstream Reform (PENDING)

Upstream Reform (PENDING)

Paper 4Hierarchy
Wave Duration vs Learning Rate (alpha)

Wave Duration vs Learning Rate (alpha)

Paper 4dynamics
Weight Concentration vs Employment Reallocation (NBER-CES)

Weight Concentration vs Employment Reallocation (NBER-CES)

Paper 4entry-exit
BEA Real VA Comovement vs Complementarity

BEA Real VA Comovement vs Complementarity

Paper 5potential
Between-HS2 Variance: Intermediate vs Final Goods

Between-HS2 Variance: Intermediate vs Final Goods

Paper 5Hierarchy
Bootstrap Test: sigma < 2 (Acemoglu Threshold)

Bootstrap Test: sigma < 2 (Acemoglu Threshold)

Paper 5Macroeconomics
Capital Deepening Trend (K/L Ratio)

Capital Deepening Trend (K/L Ratio)

Paper 5Macroeconomics
CH: Cross Layer Coef Matrix

CH: Cross Layer Coef Matrix

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Cross Layer FEVD

CH: Cross Layer FEVD

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Cross Layer Granger Heatmap

CH: Cross Layer Granger Heatmap

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Cross Layer IRF

CH: Cross Layer IRF

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Cross Layer Raw Series

CH: Cross Layer Raw Series

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Damping Cancellation IRF

CH: Damping Cancellation IRF

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Dispersion Indicator

CH: Dispersion Indicator

Paper 5Hierarchy
CH: Leadlag Correlation

CH: Leadlag Correlation

Paper 5Hierarchy
Comovement vs Complementarity (8 Manufacturing Sectors)

Comovement vs Complementarity (8 Manufacturing Sectors)

Paper 5potential
Compensation Volatility vs Sigma

Compensation Volatility vs Sigma

Paper 5Macroeconomics
COVID Trade Collapse Distribution (Bimodality)

COVID Trade Collapse Distribution (Bimodality)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Cross-Crisis Pair Persistence (GFC vs COVID)

Cross-Crisis Pair Persistence (GFC vs COVID)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Cross-State rho Estimation (DTC)

Cross-State rho Estimation (DTC)

Paper 5Macroeconomics
Damping Cancellation: Activity Restrictions IRF (Institutional Cascade)

Damping Cancellation: Activity Restrictions IRF (Institutional Cascade)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Damping Cancellation: Capital Stringency IRF (Direct Stock)

Damping Cancellation: Capital Stringency IRF (Direct Stock)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Damping Cancellation: Combined IRF (All Regulatory Layers)

Damping Cancellation: Combined IRF (All Regulatory Layers)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Damping Cancellation: Supervisory Power IRF (Institutional Cascade)

Damping Cancellation: Supervisory Power IRF (Institutional Cascade)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Depth-Breadth Correlation in Trade Collapse

Depth-Breadth Correlation in Trade Collapse

Paper 5Hierarchy
EMD Bands

EMD Bands

Paper 5Dynamics & Crises
EMD Cross-Validation: Leontief vs Time-Series Hierarchy

EMD Cross-Validation: Leontief vs Time-Series Hierarchy

Paper 5Hierarchy
EMD Levels

EMD Levels

Paper 5Dynamics & Crises
Factor Share Stability vs Sigma

Factor Share Stability vs Sigma

Paper 5Macroeconomics
GFC Trade Collapse Distribution (Bimodality)

GFC Trade Collapse Distribution (Bimodality)

Paper 5Hierarchy
GVC Stratification: Intermediate vs Final Goods

GVC Stratification: Intermediate vs Final Goods

Paper 5Hierarchy
Horse Race Oos: HR3 Timescale MP Null

Horse Race Oos: HR3 Timescale MP Null

Paper 5Hierarchy
HR1 Damping Horse Race

HR1 Damping Horse Race

Paper 5Hierarchy
HR2 Crisis Duration Horse Race

HR2 Crisis Duration Horse Race

Paper 5Hierarchy
HR2 Cycle Amplitude Horse Race

HR2 Cycle Amplitude Horse Race

Paper 5Hierarchy
HS6 Catastrophic Rate Heterogeneity by Intermediate HS2 Code

HS6 Catastrophic Rate Heterogeneity by Intermediate HS2 Code

Paper 5Hierarchy
IP Growth Correlation: Recession vs Expansion

IP Growth Correlation: Recession vs Expansion

Paper 5potential
Leontief Spectral Concentration vs Random Matrices

Leontief Spectral Concentration vs Random Matrices

Paper 5Hierarchy
Leontief SVD Spectrum and Hierarchy Depth

Leontief SVD Spectrum and Hierarchy Depth

Paper 5Hierarchy
LP Cyclicality vs Sigma (N=8, BEA Cost-Share)

LP Cyclicality vs Sigma (N=8, BEA Cost-Share)

Paper 5potential
LP Cyclicality vs Sigma (NBER-CES, N=14 OR Sectors)

LP Cyclicality vs Sigma (NBER-CES, N=14 OR Sectors)

Paper 5potential
Monthly LP Cyclicality vs Sigma (FRED, N=14 OR Sectors)

Monthly LP Cyclicality vs Sigma (FRED, N=14 OR Sectors)

Paper 5potential
NBER-CES Universal Procyclicality (14 Sectors)

NBER-CES Universal Procyclicality (14 Sectors)

Paper 5potential
Oos1 Solar Pv Forecast

Oos1 Solar Pv Forecast

Paper 5Hierarchy
OOS2: Basel III DID — Treated vs Control FDI Change + Pre-2007 IRF

OOS2: Basel III DID — Treated vs Control FDI Change + Pre-2007 IRF

Paper 5Hierarchy
OOS3: COVID Semiconductor Recovery Forecast & d Comparison

OOS3: COVID Semiconductor Recovery Forecast & d Comparison

Paper 5Hierarchy
Recovery Bimodality of GFC-Collapsed Pairs

Recovery Bimodality of GFC-Collapsed Pairs

Paper 5Hierarchy
rho-Diversity vs GFC Depth, Controlling for Credit/GDP

rho-Diversity vs GFC Depth, Controlling for Credit/GDP

Paper 5Dynamics & Crises
rho-Diversity vs GFC Recession Depth

rho-Diversity vs GFC Recession Depth

Paper 5Dynamics & Crises
rho-Diversity vs GFC Recession Depth (29 OECD Countries)

rho-Diversity vs GFC Recession Depth (29 OECD Countries)

Paper 5Dynamics & Crises
Russia-Ukraine Trade Collapse Distribution (Bimodality)

Russia-Ukraine Trade Collapse Distribution (Bimodality)

Paper 5Hierarchy
Time-Series rho Estimation (DTC)

Time-Series rho Estimation (DTC)

Paper 5Macroeconomics
Universal Procyclicality (8 Sectors, Kendall Tau)

Universal Procyclicality (8 Sectors, Kendall Tau)

Paper 5potential
Wage Complementarity Combined Results

Wage Complementarity Combined Results

Paper 5Macroeconomics
Wage Cyclicality vs Sigma

Wage Cyclicality vs Sigma

Paper 5Macroeconomics
Wage Stickiness vs Sigma

Wage Stickiness vs Sigma

Paper 5Macroeconomics
Within-Aggregate Comovement Ordering

Within-Aggregate Comovement Ordering

Paper 5potential
Within-Group Comovement by NLS Rho

Within-Group Comovement by NLS Rho

Paper 5potential
AI Damping Cancellation (Pending)

AI Damping Cancellation (Pending)

Paper 6applications
AI Inference Pricing: Wright's Law Fit and Alpha Sensitivity

AI Inference Pricing: Wright's Law Fit and Alpha Sensitivity

Paper 6AI Transition
AI Model Size Dispersion and Frontier Expansion

AI Model Size Dispersion and Frontier Expansion

Paper 6applications
Autocatalytic Threshold (PENDING)

Autocatalytic Threshold (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Baumol Bottleneck Binding (PENDING)

Baumol Bottleneck Binding (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Capex Arms Race

Capex Arms Race

Paper 6AI Transition
Capex Model vs Actual

Capex Model vs Actual

Paper 6AI Transition
Capex Overinvestment Ratio

Capex Overinvestment Ratio

Paper 6AI Transition
Consumer Silicon AI Crossing Trajectory

Consumer Silicon AI Crossing Trajectory

Paper 6applications
Convergence Gap Alpha: D=12 Months

Convergence Gap Alpha: D=12 Months

Paper 6AI Transition
Convergence Gap Alpha: D=4 Months

Convergence Gap Alpha: D=4 Months

Paper 6AI Transition
Convergence Gap Alpha: D=6 Months

Convergence Gap Alpha: D=6 Months

Paper 6AI Transition
Convergence Gap Alpha: D=9 Months

Convergence Gap Alpha: D=9 Months

Paper 6AI Transition
Crisis Sequence Ordering — F→P→G Timeline

Crisis Sequence Ordering — F→P→G Timeline

Paper 6applications
Cross-Ecosystem Divergence: Chinese vs Control

Cross-Ecosystem Divergence: Chinese vs Control

Paper 6applications
Cross-Level Insulation: Stablecoin vs Semiconductor IP

Cross-Level Insulation: Stablecoin vs Semiconductor IP

Paper 6applications
Crossbar Cost Trajectory (PENDING)

Crossbar Cost Trajectory (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Crossbar Memory Prototype (PENDING)

Crossbar Memory Prototype (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Crossing Time Acceleration vs Number of Firms

Crossing Time Acceleration vs Number of Firms

Paper 6AI Transition
Distributed R0 Crossing (PENDING)

Distributed R0 Crossing (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Diversity Collapse Protection (PENDING)

Diversity Collapse Protection (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
ED: 1 Value Functions

ED: 1 Value Functions

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: 2 Output Rates

ED: 2 Output Rates

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: 3 Shadow Costs

ED: 3 Shadow Costs

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: 4 Crossing Time vs N

ED: 4 Crossing Time vs N

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: 5 Sensitivity Delta

ED: 5 Sensitivity Delta

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: 6 Decomposition

ED: 6 Decomposition

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: 7 Closed Form Verification

ED: 7 Closed Form Verification

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: Capex Arms Race

ED: Capex Arms Race

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: Capex By Firm

ED: Capex By Firm

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: Capex Model vs Actual

ED: Capex Model vs Actual

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: Capex Overinvestment Ratio

ED: Capex Overinvestment Ratio

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: Export Control Event Study

ED: Export Control Event Study

Paper 6AI Transition
ED: R0 Figure

ED: R0 Figure

Paper 6AI Transition
Endogenous Hub Emergence (PENDING)

Endogenous Hub Emergence (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Export Control DID: Edge Share Pre/Post by Group

Export Control DID: Edge Share Pre/Post by Group

Paper 6AI Transition
Export Control: Chinese Edge-Compatible Share

Export Control: Chinese Edge-Compatible Share

Paper 6AI Transition
Export Control: Paper Claim vs Data at <=3B Threshold

Export Control: Paper Claim vs Data at <=3B Threshold

Paper 6AI Transition
Export Control: Post-Treatment Model Size Distributions

Export Control: Post-Treatment Model Size Distributions

Paper 6AI Transition
Financial → Production Lead-Lag Summary

Financial → Production Lead-Lag Summary

Paper 6crisis-dynamics
Forward-Looking Only Lead-Lag (excl. BAA10Y)

Forward-Looking Only Lead-Lag (excl. BAA10Y)

Paper 6crisis-dynamics
Frontier Inference Everywhere (PENDING)

Frontier Inference Everywhere (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Frontier Training Concentration by Organization

Frontier Training Concentration by Organization

Paper 6AI Transition
Geometric Dimension Clustering: d=1 vs d=2 Learning Rates

Geometric Dimension Clustering: d=1 vs d=2 Learning Rates

Paper 6applications
Geometric Dimension Mediation: d=1 vs d=2 Wave Duration

Geometric Dimension Mediation: d=1 vs d=2 Wave Duration

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Geometric Dimension Mediation: NBER-CES

Geometric Dimension Mediation: NBER-CES

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Green Transition: Adoption Discontinuity

Green Transition: Adoption Discontinuity

Paper 6Macroeconomics
Green Transition: Carbon Tax vs Renewable Share

Green Transition: Carbon Tax vs Renewable Share

Paper 6Macroeconomics
Green Transition: Geometric Dimension Ordering

Green Transition: Geometric Dimension Ordering

Paper 6Macroeconomics
Green Transition: Wright's Law Solar PV

Green Transition: Wright's Law Solar PV

Paper 6Macroeconomics
Implied R₀ from OpenRouter Adoption

Implied R₀ from OpenRouter Adoption

Paper 6applications
Inference Capex Deceleration (PENDING)

Inference Capex Deceleration (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Inference Democratization: HuggingFace Model Growth and API Providers

Inference Democratization: HuggingFace Model Growth and API Providers

Paper 6applications
Learning Rate α vs Wave Duration

Learning Rate α vs Wave Duration

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Long Tail Niche Dominance (PENDING)

Long Tail Niche Dominance (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Mesh Frontier Convergence (PENDING)

Mesh Frontier Convergence (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Mesh Model Collapse Threshold (PENDING)

Mesh Model Collapse Threshold (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
NFCI → INDPRO Cross-Correlogram

NFCI → INDPRO Cross-Correlogram

Paper 6crisis-dynamics
Nonlinear Knowledge Acceleration (PENDING)

Nonlinear Knowledge Acceleration (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Open-Weight Share Ceiling Estimate

Open-Weight Share Ceiling Estimate

Paper 6applications
Open-Weight Share: Logistic vs Linear Fit

Open-Weight Share: Logistic vs Linear Fit

Paper 6applications
Out-of-Sample Cycle Compression: Alpha vs Duration (N=6)

Out-of-Sample Cycle Compression: Alpha vs Duration (N=6)

Paper 6applications
Perez Technology Revolutions: Duration Compression

Perez Technology Revolutions: Duration Compression

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Phi Eff Benchmark (PENDING)

Phi Eff Benchmark (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Regime Shift Speed (PENDING)

Regime Shift Speed (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Settlement Binding Constraint (PENDING)

Settlement Binding Constraint (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Specialization Before Generalization (PENDING)

Specialization Before Generalization (PENDING)

Paper 6applications
Stablecoin Event Study: Settlement-Layer Self-Damping

Stablecoin Event Study: Settlement-Layer Self-Damping

Paper 6applications
Successive Cycle Compression — Alpha vs Duration

Successive Cycle Compression — Alpha vs Duration

Paper 6applications
Technology Cycle Duration Formula — Predicted vs Actual

Technology Cycle Duration Formula — Predicted vs Actual

Paper 6applications
Technology Cycle: Low-Rho AI Crossing

Technology Cycle: Low-Rho AI Crossing

Paper 6applications
Technology Diffusion Speed Compression

Technology Diffusion Speed Compression

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Technology Diffusion Speed: GDP-Controlled

Technology Diffusion Speed: GDP-Controlled

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Training Agent Emergence: Prediction Timeline

Training Agent Emergence: Prediction Timeline

Paper 6AI Transition
Training Concentration HHI and Firm Entry Over Time

Training Concentration HHI and Firm Entry Over Time

Paper 6applications
Training Market HHI vs DOJ Thresholds

Training Market HHI vs DOJ Thresholds

Paper 6AI Transition
Variety Expansion Rate: Predicted Growth Trajectory

Variety Expansion Rate: Predicted Growth Trajectory

Paper 6AI Transition
VIXCLS → IPMAN Cross-Correlogram

VIXCLS → IPMAN Cross-Correlogram

Paper 6crisis-dynamics
Volatility Dissipation: Settlement vs Hardware Layer

Volatility Dissipation: Settlement vs Hardware Layer

Paper 6applications
Wright's Law Duration Formula: α×τ vs ln(c₀/c*)

Wright's Law Duration Formula: α×τ vs ln(c₀/c*)

Paper 6Dynamics & Crises
Absolute 30-min Statement Response Decline

Absolute 30-min Statement Response Decline

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Absorption by Yield Maturity: Short-End Absorption to Long-End Triffin

Absorption by Yield Maturity: Short-End Absorption to Long-End Triffin

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Absorption Channel: Pre vs Post Fed Hiking Stability

Absorption Channel: Pre vs Post Fed Hiking Stability

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Cross-Maturity FG Signature Stability

Cross-Maturity FG Signature Stability

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Crypto Adoption by Real Interest Rate Regime

Crypto Adoption by Real Interest Rate Regime

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Crypto Adoption Rate by Inflation Quintile

Crypto Adoption Rate by Inflation Quintile

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Developing Economy: Accommodate vs Resist Crypto Adoption

Developing Economy: Accommodate vs Resist Crypto Adoption

Paper 7applications
Dual-Currency Extended Solow Model Paths

Dual-Currency Extended Solow Model Paths

Paper 7applications
Empirical vs Model Crypto Adoption S-Curve

Empirical vs Model Crypto Adoption S-Curve

Paper 7applications
Financial Repression: Real Yield vs Savings Rate

Financial Repression: Real Yield vs Savings Rate

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Inflation vs Top Crypto Adoption (41 Countries)

Inflation vs Top Crypto Adoption (41 Countries)

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Inflation-Adoption Gradient by Year

Inflation-Adoption Gradient by Year

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Kyle's Lambda: Market Efficiency (Yield Autocorrelation vs Stablecoin Mcap)

Kyle's Lambda: Market Efficiency (Yield Autocorrelation vs Stablecoin Mcap)

Paper 7applications
Kyle's Lambda: Treasury Realized Vol and Stablecoin Mcap Over Time

Kyle's Lambda: Treasury Realized Vol and Stablecoin Mcap Over Time

Paper 7applications
Kyle's Lambda: Treasury Realized Vol vs Stablecoin Ecosystem Size

Kyle's Lambda: Treasury Realized Vol vs Stablecoin Ecosystem Size

Paper 7applications
Lucas Critique Gap: Naive vs Actual Policy Effectiveness

Lucas Critique Gap: Naive vs Actual Policy Effectiveness

Paper 7applications
Monetary Schism Dashboard

Monetary Schism Dashboard

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Monetary Schism Game Theory

Monetary Schism Game Theory

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Monetary Schism Sensitivity

Monetary Schism Sensitivity

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Monetary Schism: Parameter Sensitivity Analysis

Monetary Schism: Parameter Sensitivity Analysis

Paper 7applications
Monetary Schism: Tipping Point Benefit-Cost Dynamics

Monetary Schism: Tipping Point Benefit-Cost Dynamics

Paper 7applications
Press Conference Displacement of Statement

Press Conference Displacement of Statement

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Rolling 52-Week Absorption Coefficient with HAC Confidence Bands

Rolling 52-Week Absorption Coefficient with HAC Confidence Bands

Paper 7Monetary Policy
S-Curve Crypto Adoption with Inflection Point

S-Curve Crypto Adoption with Inflection Point

Paper 7applications
Settlement: FOMC Absorption Time

Settlement: FOMC Absorption Time

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: FOMC Adjustment Speed

Settlement: FOMC Adjustment Speed

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: FOMC Era Comparison

Settlement: FOMC Era Comparison

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: FOMC Yield Response

Settlement: FOMC Yield Response

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Inflation Adoption Scatter

Settlement: Inflation Adoption Scatter

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Inflation Quintile Adoption

Settlement: Inflation Quintile Adoption

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Inflation Threshold Curve

Settlement: Inflation Threshold Curve

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury Granger

Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury Granger

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury IRF

Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury IRF

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury Regression

Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury Regression

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury Timeseries

Settlement: Stablecoin Treasury Timeseries

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Statement Concentration Ratio Over Time

Statement Concentration Ratio Over Time

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Surprise-Normalized 10Y Response (KEY Metric)

Surprise-Normalized 10Y Response (KEY Metric)

Paper 7Monetary Policy
Triffin Channel: Quarterly Stablecoin Growth vs 2Y Yield

Triffin Channel: Quarterly Stablecoin Growth vs 2Y Yield

Paper 7Monetary Policy
5 Remittance MPG

5 Remittance MPG

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: 1 FQI Heatmap

Mpg: 1 FQI Heatmap

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: 2 FQI Timeseries

Mpg: 2 FQI Timeseries

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: 3 FQI vs Adoption

Mpg: 3 FQI vs Adoption

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: 4 India Event Study

Mpg: 4 India Event Study

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: 6 China Mining Ban

Mpg: 6 China Mining Ban

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: 7 Dashboard

Mpg: 7 Dashboard

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: FQI Improvement

Mpg: FQI Improvement

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: India Displacement

Mpg: India Displacement

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: India Enhanced

Mpg: India Enhanced

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: Mining SCM

Mpg: Mining SCM

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: Savings YAG

Mpg: Savings YAG

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: Stablecoin Treasury

Mpg: Stablecoin Treasury

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: Synthetic Control India

Mpg: Synthetic Control India

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: YAG Risk Decomposition

Mpg: YAG Risk Decomposition

Paper 8Empirical Methods
Mpg: Yield Access Gap

Mpg: Yield Access Gap

Paper 8Empirical Methods
10-Year Horizon: r-g Gap and Wealth Concentration

10-Year Horizon: r-g Gap and Wealth Concentration

Paper 9fair-inheritance
5-Year Horizon: r-g Gap and Wealth Concentration

5-Year Horizon: r-g Gap and Wealth Concentration

Paper 9fair-inheritance
Annual r-g Gap (Diagnostic: frequency mismatch)

Annual r-g Gap (Diagnostic: frequency mismatch)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
CES Efficiency Test: Wealth Concentration vs TFP Level

CES Efficiency Test: Wealth Concentration vs TFP Level

Paper 9applications
Concentration Trend by Heirship Regime (1990-2020)

Concentration Trend by Heirship Regime (1990-2020)

Paper 9applications
Concentration vs TFP: Cross-Sectional Panel

Concentration vs TFP: Cross-Sectional Panel

Paper 9applications
Concentration vs TFP: Spearman Rank

Concentration vs TFP: Spearman Rank

Paper 9applications
Economic Diversity by Heirship Regime (OECD STAN)

Economic Diversity by Heirship Regime (OECD STAN)

Paper 9applications
Event Study — Sweden 2005 Inheritance Tax Abolition

Event Study — Sweden 2005 Inheritance Tax Abolition

Paper 9applications
Exemption vs Top 1% Wealth Share (Spearman)

Exemption vs Top 1% Wealth Share (Spearman)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
Ford Foundation: 1/7 Rule Simulation

Ford Foundation: 1/7 Rule Simulation

Paper 9applications
Foundation 1/7 Excess Rule Backtest (Aggregate)

Foundation 1/7 Excess Rule Backtest (Aggregate)

Paper 9applications
Foundation Assets as Share of GDP

Foundation Assets as Share of GDP

Paper 9applications
Foundation Creations and Estate Tax Events

Foundation Creations and Estate Tax Events

Paper 9applications
Foundation Payout Rates vs 5% Floor

Foundation Payout Rates vs 5% Floor

Paper 9applications
Inheritance Tax Revenue vs Wealth Concentration

Inheritance Tax Revenue vs Wealth Concentration

Paper 9applications
JST Capital Returns (5yr): r-g and Wealth Concentration

JST Capital Returns (5yr): r-g and Wealth Concentration

Paper 9fair-inheritance
Long-Run Wealth Concentration: France vs Anglo Countries (1900-2024)

Long-Run Wealth Concentration: France vs Anglo Countries (1900-2024)

Paper 9applications
Norway 2014 Inheritance Tax Abolition — DID

Norway 2014 Inheritance Tax Abolition — DID

Paper 9applications
OECD Inheritance Tax Revenue — Nordic Countries

OECD Inheritance Tax Revenue — Nordic Countries

Paper 9applications
r-g Gap: High Tax Countries (Annual)

r-g Gap: High Tax Countries (Annual)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
r-g Gap: Low Tax Countries (Annual)

r-g Gap: Low Tax Countries (Annual)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
r-g Gap: Low vs High Tax Comparison (10-Year)

r-g Gap: Low vs High Tax Comparison (10-Year)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
r-g Gap: Primary Beta (5-Year)

r-g Gap: Primary Beta (5-Year)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
r-g Gap: Tax Interaction Beta (5-Year)

r-g Gap: Tax Interaction Beta (5-Year)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
Robust DID Excluding Norway (Post to 2013)

Robust DID Excluding Norway (Post to 2013)

Paper 9applications
Sweden 2005 Inheritance Tax Abolition — Top 1% DID

Sweden 2005 Inheritance Tax Abolition — Top 1% DID

Paper 9applications
Sweden DID: Group Means

Sweden DID: Group Means

Paper 9applications
Sweden DID: Top Wealth Share

Sweden DID: Top Wealth Share

Paper 9applications
Synthetic Control — Sweden Inheritance Tax

Synthetic Control — Sweden Inheritance Tax

Paper 9applications
Taxable Estates vs Top 1% Wealth Share (Spearman)

Taxable Estates vs Top 1% Wealth Share (Spearman)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
TCJA Event Study: Pre vs Post Concentration

TCJA Event Study: Pre vs Post Concentration

Paper 9fair-inheritance
US Estate Tax Exemption vs Wealth Concentration (2000-2023)

US Estate Tax Exemption vs Wealth Concentration (2000-2023)

Paper 9fair-inheritance
US Private Foundation Assets Growth (1985-2021)

US Private Foundation Assets Growth (1985-2021)

Paper 9applications
Wealth Concentration Box Plot: Recipient vs Estate vs No Tax

Wealth Concentration Box Plot: Recipient vs Estate vs No Tax

Paper 9applications
Wealth Concentration by Heirship Regime (19 OECD Countries)

Wealth Concentration by Heirship Regime (19 OECD Countries)

Paper 9applications
Wealth Concentration by Inheritance Tax System

Wealth Concentration by Inheritance Tax System

Paper 9applications
Wealth Concentration Erodes Output

Wealth Concentration Erodes Output

Paper 9applications