pct: 12.9417statistic: 0.1294mean_delta: 0.1294
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_accumulation.py
gap: 0.2397mean_s: 0.1568mean_s_K: 0.3965statistic: 0.2397
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_accumulation.py
std_KY: 0.0550mean_KY: 1.2115statistic: 1.2115
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_accumulation.py
mean_r: 0.1981mean_MPK: 0.3275statistic: 0.1981mean_delta: 0.1294
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_accumulation.py
pct: 5.6883statistic: 0.0569mean_net_inv_rate: 0.0569
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_accumulation.py
plant: 0.9476sector: 0.9448p_value: 0.0000aggregate: 1.2670
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_aggregation_puzzle.py
p_value: 0.0001n_matched: 14.0000statistic: 0.8508
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_aggregation_puzzle.py
p_value: 0.1531statistic: 0.9476frac_below_1: 0.5766n_industries: 359.0000
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_aggregation_puzzle.py
p_value: 0.0005statistic: 0.2835
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_aggregation_puzzle.py
p_value: 0.0002n_sectors: 21.0000statistic: 0.9448
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_aggregation_puzzle.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_ai_cycle_duration.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_ai_damping_cancellation.py
n: 657.0000r2: 0.3812p_value: 0.2820statistic: 0.2845
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_akerlof_banking.py
p_value: 0.1778statistic: 0.3637
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_akerlof_banking.py
p_value: 0.4544statistic: 0.1073
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_akerlof_banking.py
p_value: 0.5175statistic: -0.1218
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_akerlof_banking.py
p_value: 0.1352statistic: -0.1454
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_akerlof_banking.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_autocatalytic_threshold.py
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_automation_adoption_priority.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_baumol_bottleneck_binding.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_baumol_ceiling_sequence.py
r_avg: 0.1160r_min: 0.1160p_value: 0.8268statistic: 0.1160
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_baumol_convergence.py
statistic: 0.1170
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_baumol_convergence.py
statistic: 0.3518
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_baumol_convergence.py
p_value: 0.0004statistic: -0.2857
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_baumol_convergence.py
n_total: 8.0000statistic: 3.0000n_consistent: 3.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
n_pairs: 21.0000p_value: 0.1892mean_tau: 0.0480statistic: 0.6667
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
n_cycles: 11.0000statistic: 11.7778mean_ratio: 11.7778median_ratio: 4.8889
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
p_value: 0.0003pseudo_r2: 0.0354statistic: 221.3537probit_coef: 221.3537
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
p_value: 0.4155n_windows: 80.0000statistic: -0.0620kendall_tau: -0.0620
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
statistic: 3.5431hill_alpha: 3.5431n_recessions: 7.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
vol_pre: 0.9735mean_pre: 0.1818vol_post: 0.5096mean_post: 0.2355
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
reason: n=2 recessions with diversity data, too few
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
n: 49.0000p_value: 0.0002pooled_p: 0.0008statistic: -0.3975
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_business_cycle_predictions.py
chinese_p: 0.0045control_p: 0.1556statistic: 0.3695chinese_spearman: 0.7552
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capability_divergence_k.py
p_value: 0.0018statistic: 0.7340max_last_B: 397.0000n_quarters: 15.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capability_divergence_k.py
p_value: 0.0006std_last: 1.3423statistic: 0.7821std_first: 1.1706
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capability_divergence_k.py
p_value: 0.0012statistic: 0.7536n_quarters: 15.0000raw_dispersion_vs_n: 0.2788
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capability_divergence_k.py
statistic: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capex_overinvestment.py
N: 5.0000predicted: ~79%statistic: 79.3260
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capex_overinvestment.py
n_years: 8.0000statistic: 1.0000frac_years_above_coop: 1.0000pre_boom_closer_to_nash: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capex_overinvestment.py
per_year: {
"2018": 2.8,
"2019": 3.06,
"2020": 3.94,
"2021": 5.4,
"2022": 6.69,
"2023": 6.43,
"2024": 12.05,
"2025": 19.31
}statistic: 4.7215years_used: 2018-2023 (pre-boom)predicted_range: 3-4x
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_capex_overinvestment.py
p_value: 0.3299n_events: 6.0000statistic: -0.3581
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_ces_emergence.py
statistic: 2.9848rho_medians: [
-0.07300866198863445,
-0.29935173601314935,
0.5708818672402612,
0.24121675573991205
]
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_ces_emergence.py
min_r2: 0.9980n_pass: 40.0000n_total: 40.0000p_value: 0.0000
tests/foundations/test_ces_emergence_universality.py
reason: BEA I-O or GDP data not found
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_ces_isotropy.py
reason: Census ECNMATFUEL or FRED 4-digit data not found
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_ces_isotropy.py
n: 14.0000r2: 0.7813beta: 2.8765alpha: 10.6123
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_ces_isotropy.py
p_value: 0.0000r_value: -1.0000statistic: -1.0000
tests/foundations/test_ces_emergence_scale_consistency.py
evidence: [
"price_leads_quantity",
"coli_auc_higher",
"composite_benefit"
]statistic: 0.8566n_evidence: 3.0000coli_auc_12m: 0.8566
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_coli_indicator.py
gm_mean: 8.2701p_value: 0.9666gfc_mean: 5.0849statistic: -3.1852
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_comin_muligan.py
gm_mean: 8.2701p_value: 0.0000statistic: 6.5975post_covid_mean: 14.8676
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_comin_muligan.py
gm_mean: 8.2701p_value: 0.0005statistic: 2.9573pre84_mean: 11.2274
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_comin_muligan.py
J: 18.0000T: 648.0000n_pass: 4.0000corr_cv: 0.3468
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_compound_symmetry.py
source: comparable_lineagep_value: 0.0158n_points: 4.0000qa_alpha: 2.2225
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_convergence_gap_alpha.py
p_value: 0.0158statistic: 1.3791
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_convergence_gap_alpha.py
p_value: 0.0158statistic: 0.4597
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_convergence_gap_alpha.py
p_value: 0.0158statistic: 0.6896
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_convergence_gap_alpha.py
p_value: 0.0158statistic: 1.0344
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_convergence_gap_alpha.py
statistic: -9.3407
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_convergence_horse_race.py
statistic: 0.0453
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_convergence_horse_race.py
ci_hi: -0.1376ci_lo: -0.1704p_value: 0.0001r_squared: 0.9958
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_convergence_horse_race.py
p_value: 0.0010n_tested: 10.0000statistic: 1.0000n_conserved: 10.0000
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_convergence.py
statistic: 56.0815
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_convergence.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.3830
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_convergence.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: -0.2537
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_convergence.py
K_range: 0.3992corr_K_K2: 0.9995statistic: -1.1996
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_robustness.py
p_value: 0.3987statistic: -14.4575
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_robustness.py
p_value: 0.4281statistic: -0.1146
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_robustness.py
p_value: 0.2418statistic: 28.5826
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_robustness.py
p_value: 0.5911statistic: 0.1022
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_correlation_robustness.py
p_value: 0.4210n_sectors: 13.0000statistic: -0.0680
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_covid_recovery_sigma.py
statistic: 0.0680threshold: 0.3000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_covid_recovery_sigma.py
p_value: 0.5980n_sectors: 15.0000statistic: 0.0680
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_covid_recovery_sigma.py
p_value: 0.1203evidence: [
"cross-corr lead",
"turning points"
]statistic: -0.2957cross_corr: -0.2957
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cpi_leading_indicator.py
p_value: 0.2450poisson_p: 0.2450statistic: -1.1966frequency_decline: 1.2000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_count_ceiling.py
p_value: 0.0365windows: [
{
"period": "1972-1976",
"mean_nfci": 0.866,
"n_recessions": 1
},
{
"period": "1977-1981",
"mean_nfci": 1.246,
"n_recessions": 2
},
{
"period": "1982-1986",
"mean_nfci": 0.37,
"n_recessions": 0
},
{
"period": "1987-1991",
"mean_nfci": 0.147,
"n_recessions": 1
},
{
"period": "1992-1996",
"mean_nfci": -0.787,
"n_recessions": 0
},
{
"period": "1997-2001",
"mean_nfci": -0.355,
"n_recessions": 1
},
{
"period": "2002-2006",
"mean_nfci": -0.617,
"n_recessions": 0
},
{
"period": "2007-2011",
"mean_nfci": 0.247,
"n_recessions": 1
},
{
"period": "2012-2016",
"mean_nfci": -0.538,
"n_recessions": 0
},
{
"period": "2017-2021",
"mean_nfci": -0.53,
"n_recessions": 1
}
]n_windows: 10.0000statistic: 0.6633
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_count_ceiling.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.5131n_intervals: 11.0000cv_intervals: 0.5130
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_count_ceiling.py
waves: [
{
"end": 1929,
"wave": "Age of Steel & Electricity",
"start": 1890,
"span_years": 39,
"n_recessions": 13,
"frequency_per_decade": 3.33
},
{
"end": 1970,
"wave": "Age of Oil & Mass Production",
"start": 1930,
"span_years": 40,
"n_recessions": 7,
"frequency_per_decade": 1.75
},
{
"end": 2024,
"wave": "Age of ICT",
"start": 1971,
"span_years": 53,
"n_recessions": 7,
"frequency_per_decade": 1.32
}
]p_value: 0.1667statistic: 1.3200monotone_decreasing: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_count_ceiling.py
n_total: 4.0000statistic: 1.0000n_consistent: 1.0000n_core_total: 2.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_duration.py
mean_d1: 28.0000mean_d2: 26.7500predicted: 1.4142statistic: 1.0467
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_duration.py
p_value: 0.1930n_sectors: 13.0000statistic: -0.3858exploratory: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_duration.py
n_sectors: 13.0000statistic: 14.9556exploratory: 1.0000mean_d1_p2r: 34.1000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_duration.py
n_waves: 7.0000p_value: 0.3174statistic: -0.4447
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_duration.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.1908n_ppi_sectors: 12.0000best_lag_months: 6.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_sequence_ordering.py
p_value: 0.0178kendall_p: 0.0178n_sectors: 14.0000statistic: -0.4833
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cross_industry_rho_cyclicality.py
n_pairs: 98.0000p_value: 0.0000kendall_p: 0.0000n_sectors: 14.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cross_industry_rho_cyclicality.py
n_pairs: 76.0000p_value: 0.0000kendall_p: 0.0000statistic: -0.3600
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cross_industry_rho_cyclicality.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_crossbar_cost_trajectory.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_crossbar_memory_prototype.py
p_value: 0.4647n_cycles: 7.0000statistic: -0.3336year_range: 1958-2018
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cycle_compression.py
N: 5.0000note: Oil & Mass Production is anomalous (WWII disruption)p_value: 0.5046durations: {
"ICT": 30,
"Steam & Railways": 46,
"Steel & Electricity": 33,
"Industrial Revolution": 58,
"Oil & Mass Production": 63
}
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cycle_compression.py
N: 4.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: -1.0000durations_excl: {
"ICT": 30,
"Steam & Railways": 46,
"Steel & Electricity": 33,
"Industrial Revolution": 58
}
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_cycle_compression.py
statistic: 1.0000max_horizon: 8.0000sig_horizons: [
1
]
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_damping_cancellation.py
n: 1191.0000p_value: 0.9462statistic: -0.0028
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_damping_cancellation.py
statistic: 1.0000max_horizon: 8.0000sig_horizons: [
1
]
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_damping_cancellation.py
betas: {
"Capital": 0.00232820497327298,
"Activity": -0.0009914470849014478,
"Supervisory": 0.0007589424200421958
}statistic: 0.0033
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_damping_cancellation.py
statistic: 4.0000max_horizon: 8.0000sig_horizons: [
2,
3,
4
]
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_damping_cancellation.py
cum_local: -0.0007statistic: 0.0097cum_upstream: -0.0104
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_damping_cancellation.py
n: 28.0000slope: 0.0382p_value: 0.0000r_squared: 0.9759
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_directed_technical_change.py
diff: 0.1900rho_ts: 0.1885rho_xs: -0.0014p_value: 0.3102
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_directed_technical_change.py
n_boot: 1000.0000p_value: 0.0220ci_lower: 0.6319ci_upper: 1.9301
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_directed_technical_change.py
se: 0.0187rho: 0.1885sigma: 1.2323slope: 0.1885
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_directed_technical_change.py
se: 0.1862rho: -0.0014sigma: 0.9986slope: -0.0014
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_directed_technical_change.py
statistic: -0.4797var_ratio: 0.4033in_econ_range: True
p_value: 0.2046statistic: 1.4847min_p_reverse: 0.0786
p_value: 0.0647best_lag: 5.0000statistic: 3.7772
statistic: 3.0000peak_response: 0.2669
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_distributed_r0_crossing.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_diversity_collapse_protection.py
n: 70.0000p_value: 0.8273statistic: -0.1145exploratory: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_early_warning_by_K.py
n: 56.0000p_value: 0.3134statistic: 0.0664exploratory: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_early_warning_by_K.py
n: 56.0000p_value: 0.6718statistic: -0.0608exploratory: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_early_warning_by_K.py
n_total: 3.0000statistic: 1.0000n_right_sign: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_early_warning_by_K.py
R2: 0.0101p_value: 0.7211quarters: 82.0000N_sectors: 15.0000
R2: 0.5092p_value: 0.0468N_sectors: 8.0000statistic: -0.1550
R2: 0.0011p_value: 0.9097N_sectors: 14.0000statistic: 0.0157
R2: 0.2882p_value: 0.0478N_sectors: 14.0000statistic: -0.2416
p_value: 0.0009N_sectors: 14.0000statistic: 0.7143tau_range: [
-0.06280193236714976,
0.348792270531401
]
groups: {
"Durable Goods": "rho=-0.312, corr=0.446",
"Transport Equipment": "rho=-0.956, corr=0.391",
"Computer/Electronics": "rho=-0.632, corr=0.162"
}p_value: 0.6667N_groups: 3.0000statistic: 0.5000
R2: 0.0262p_value: 0.7016N_sectors: 8.0000statistic: -0.0571
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 14.0414mean_exp_corr: 0.2315mean_rec_corr: 0.6183
p_value: 0.0039N_sectors: 8.0000statistic: 1.0000tau_range: [
0.193507521773555,
0.4661237416581834
]
p_value: 1.0000N_groups: 3.0000statistic: 0.3333sorted_rhos: [
-0.956313944073711,
-0.6315764102485092,
-0.3119428303170224
]
p_value: 0.7194n_cycles: 6.0000statistic: -0.2000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_efficiency_fragility.py
statistic: 1.0000output_decline: 2008-02-01 00:00:00coordination_fail: 2008-09-01 00:00:00diversification_fail: 2007-12-01 00:00:00
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_efficiency_fragility.py
n_total: 4.0000statistic: 1.0000n_consistent: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_efficiency_fragility.py
p_value: 1.0000statistic: 0.3333n_recessions: 3.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_efficiency_fragility.py
p_value: 0.5619n_sectors: 7.0000statistic: 0.2381
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_efficiency_fragility.py
p_value: 0.0105gfc_range: [
2008,
2013
]pre_range: [
2001,
2007
]statistic: 0.0384
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_eigenvalue_early_warning.py
diff: 0.0380p_value: 0.2338exp_mean: 0.3390statistic: 0.0378
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_eigenvalue_early_warning.py
n_eff: 17.0000n_obs: 612.0000p_naive: 0.0000p_value: 0.1270
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_eigenvalue_early_warning.py
p_value: 0.2826perm_mean: 0.4660statistic: 0.6667n_testable: 6.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_eigenvalue_early_warning.py
adj_mean: 0.2077statistic: 0.2514nonadj_mean: -0.0436
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_emd_hierarchy.py
statistic: 2.3387
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_emd_hierarchy.py
statistic: 4.0000matched_cycles: [
"Business",
"Kitchin",
"Kondratiev",
"Kuznets"
]
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_emd_hierarchy.py
statistic: 5.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_emd_hierarchy.py
statistic: 1.3017
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_emd_hierarchy.py
p_value: 0.1336statistic: -0.5345
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_emd_hierarchy.py
p_value: 0.0192statistic: 0.7895
p_value: 0.4756statistic: -0.1091
p_value: 0.7995statistic: -0.0147
p_value: 0.6476statistic: 0.5789
p_value: 1.0000statistic: 0.4737
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_endogenous_hub_emergence.py
reason: OWID energy data not found at /home/jonsmirl/thesis/thesis-tests/data/wavelet_cache/owid_energy_data.csv
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_energy_keff.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 1.3799
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_estimation_paradox.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: -0.9608
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_estimation_paradox.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.6572
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_estimation_paradox_mle.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: -0.5000theory_slope: -0.5000
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_estimation_paradox_mle.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: -1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_estimation_paradox_mle.py
p_value: 0.0006statistic: -0.6468
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_estimation_paradox.py
slope: 0.1485p_value: 0.2291std_err: 0.1233mean_rts: 0.8533
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_euler_factor_identity.py
mean_pct: 7.2224statistic: 0.0722
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_euler_ies.py
n: 27.0000R2: 0.0084se: 0.4135beta: -0.1905
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_euler_ies.py
gamma: 2.0000statistic: 0.0203mean_r_pct: 7.2224mean_gc_pct: 2.5953
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_euler_ies.py
se: 0.4135IES: -0.1905t_stat: -0.4608statistic: -0.1905
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_euler_ies.py
t_stat: -0.4608se_post: 0.4135beta_pre: -0.1429beta_post: -0.1905
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_euler_ies.py
statistic: 6.4487n_expansions: 11.0000n_contractions: 12.0000mean_expansion_months: 66.6000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_expansion_contraction_ratio.py
statistic: 2.5394pre_1990_ratio: 4.6800post_1990_ratio: 11.8900ratio_of_ratios: 2.5400
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_expansion_contraction_ratio.py
p_value: 0.0137pre_share: 0.3333statistic: 0.1370post_share: 0.4703
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_export_control_did.py
r2: 0.0226n_obs: 171.0000p_value: 0.9771statistic: -0.0061
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_export_control_did.py
N: 185.0000R2: 0.1979se1: 0.0002beta1: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_rg_gap.py
se2: 0.0002beta2: -0.0004p_value: 0.0621n_low_tax: 5.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_rg_gap.py
statistic: 0.0001difference: 0.0001beta_low_tax: 0.0001beta_high_tax: -0.0001
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_rg_gap.py
N: 102.0000se: 0.0003beta_rg: -0.0001p_value: 0.7764
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_rg_gap.py
N: 83.0000se: 0.0002beta_rg: 0.0001p_value: 0.7260
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_rg_gap.py
N: 24.0000R2: 0.6982se: 0.0024beta: 0.0146
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_us_estate.py
N: 24.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.7226spearman_rho: 0.7226
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_us_estate.py
N: 22.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: -0.7369year_range: 2001-2022
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_us_estate.py
diff: -0.0033n_pre: 8.0000n_post: 5.0000t_stat: -1.0234
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_us_estate.py
pre_slope: 0.0006statistic: 0.0002post_slope: 0.0008acceleration: 0.0002
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_us_estate.py
p_value: 0.0156n_cycles: 6.0000per_cycle: [
{
"ratio": 3.6,
"recession": "1973-11 to 1975-03",
"expansion_months": 58,
"contraction_months": 16
},
{
"ratio": 2,
"recession": "1980-01 to 1980-07",
"expansion_months": 12,
"contraction_months": 6
},
{
"ratio": 5.7,
"recession": "1981-07 to 1982-11",
"expansion_months": 92,
"contraction_months": 16
},
{
"ratio": 15,
"recession": "1990-07 to 1991-03",
"expansion_months": 120,
"contraction_months": 8
},
{
"ratio": 9.1,
"recession": "2001-03 to 2001-11",
"expansion_months": 73,
"contraction_months": 8
},
{
"ratio": 7.1,
"recession": "2007-12 to 2009-06",
"expansion_months": 128,
"contraction_months": 18
}
]statistic: 6.4235
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_fast_collapse_slow_recovery.py
p_value: 0.0156statistic: 1.7388mean_ratio: 3.9000median_ratio: 1.7000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_fast_collapse_slow_recovery.py
beta_h1: -0.0336beta_h2: -0.0685beta_h3: -0.0869beta_h4: -0.0867
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_fastest_layer_persistence.py
N: 26.0000R2: 0.9485p_value: 0.0000statistic: 6.3290
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_foundation.py
N_years: 26.0000ford_V0_B: 4.7000statistic: 2098.8571V0_nominal_B: 103.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_foundation.py
events: [
{
"year": 2001,
"event": "EGTRRA passed (phased increase)",
"pre_mean": 3150.3333333333335,
"post_mean": 2660.6666666666665,
"change_pct": -15.543328748280613
},
{
"year": 2010,
"event": "One-year repeal",
"pre_mean": 2509.6666666666665,
"post_mean": 1799.3333333333333,
"change_pct": -28.303891619072918
},
{
"year": 2013,
"event": "ATRA permanent $5M+",
"pre_mean": 1799.3333333333333,
"post_mean": 2895.6666666666665,
"change_pct": 60.92997406446832
},
{
"year": 2018,
"event": "TCJA doubled to $11.2M",
"pre_mean": 3065,
"post_mean": 3681,
"change_pct": 20.097879282218596
}
]p_value: 0.6875n_events: 4.0000statistic: 0.5000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_foundation.py
N: 24.0000p_value: 0.0030statistic: 0.5444year_range: 2000-2023
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_foundation.py
N: 26.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 6.5000max_payout_pct: 8.6000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_foundation.py
N: 26.0000R2: 0.7079p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.0819
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_foundation.py
p_value: 0.2564n_estate: 2.0000statistic: 7.0000prediction: recipient_mean < estate_mean
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_cross_country.py
r2: 0.1198n_years: 149.0000p_value: 0.1466statistic: -0.0423
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_cross_country.py
r2: 0.1029se: 0.0250p_value: 0.2544controls: log_gdp_pc
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_cross_country.py
r2: 0.2553p_value: 0.3301p_tax_rev: 0.1697statistic: 0.0431
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_cross_country.py
n_obs: 65.0000n_years: 10.0000p_value: 0.3771r2_within: 0.0122
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_cross_country.py
fe: country + yearse: 0.0232beta: 0.0128n_obs: 551.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_concentration.py
p_value: 0.2323statistic: 0.2877n_countries: 19.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_concentration.py
n_obs: 551.0000p_value: 0.2002statistic: 0.0547n_countries: 19.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_concentration.py
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_fiedler_vulnerability.py
n_pairs: 6.0000n_leading: 4.0000statistic: 0.6667pair_details: [
{
"leads": true,
"best_lag": 2,
"best_corr": -0.24452979727926646,
"financial": "NFCI",
"production": "INDPRO"
},
{
"leads": true,
"best_lag": 1,
"best_corr": -0.24500119566152498,
"financial": "NFCI",
"production": "IPMAN"
},
{
"leads": false,
"best_lag": -2,
"best_corr": -0.25101290416682986,
"financial": "BAA10Y",
"production": "INDPRO"
},
{
"leads": false,
"best_lag": 0,
"best_corr": -0.24879104271282126,
"financial": "BAA10Y",
"production": "IPMAN"
},
{
"leads": true,
"best_lag": 1,
"best_corr": -0.2910975921509311,
"financial": "VIXCLS",
"production": "INDPRO"
},
{
"leads": true,
"best_lag": 1,
"best_corr": -0.29357687710168906,
"financial": "VIXCLS",
"production": "IPMAN"
}
]
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_financial_precedes_production.py
best_lag: 2.0000statistic: -0.2445
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_financial_precedes_production.py
best_lag: 1.0000statistic: -0.2936
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_financial_precedes_production.py
p_value: 0.0135N_windows: 99.0000statistic: -0.1684
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_firm_predictions.py
N_pairs: 56.0000p_value: 0.0026sign_frac: 0.7619statistic: 0.3942
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_firm_predictions.py
cv: 0.3625mean_corr: 0.3757statistic: 0.3625frob_ratio: 0.2889
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_firm_predictions.py
N: 17.0000R2: 0.0001p_value: 0.9784statistic: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_firm_predictions.py
gfc_auc: 0.6667gfc_tau: 0.1737gfc_beta: 0.0516covid_auc: 0.8182
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_fold_forecast.py
r2: 0.0062p_value: 0.5736statistic: 0.0087n_meetings: 43.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fomc_impact.py
era_means: {
"2000-2009": 0.8598693703956847,
"2010-2019": 1.0879273504273506,
"2020-2026": 0.9034615384615506
}statistic: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fomc_impact.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_frontier_inference_everywhere.py
statistic: 0.2859
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_geometric_mean_period.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.4284
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_geometric_mean_period.py
n_pairs: 91.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.4284
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_geometric_mean_period.py
n: 25.0000r2: 0.1508p_value: 0.0551statistic: 0.2957
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_governance_boundaries.py
n: 25.0000r2_adj: 0.1500p_value: 0.0600statistic: 3.1990
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_governance_boundaries.py
n: 144.0000r2: 0.6367p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.8383
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_governance_boundaries.py
n: 74.0000r2: 0.0001p_value: 0.9860statistic: 0.0230
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_governance_boundaries.py
n: 19.0000r2: 0.5258p_value: 0.0002statistic: -0.1200
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_governance_boundaries.py
F_crit: 3.3277best_F: 13.8811p_value: 0.0100statistic: 13.0714
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_green_transition.py
p_value: 0.0003statistic: 0.5701spearman_r: 0.5701n_countries: 36.0000
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_green_transition.py
d1_mean: 0.1613d2_mean: 0.3671p_value: 0.0007ratio_2_1: 2.2769
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_green_transition.py
p_value: 0.0240cohens_d: 1.4224ratio_2_1: 2.2769statistic: 2.4657
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_green_transition.py
p_value: 0.0000beta_fit: 0.4239r_squared: 0.9831statistic: 0.9831
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_green_transition.py
gap: 0.1215p_value: 0.0100statistic: 0.1215g_estimate: 0.0300
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_growth_tax.py
n: 27.0000se: 0.0052p_value: 0.0070statistic: 0.0452
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_growth_tax.py
n: 27.0000p_value: 0.0000pearson_r: 0.8048statistic: 0.8048
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_growth_tax.py
ratio: 0.5537sigma: 0.7000p_value: 0.0100statistic: 0.5537
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_growth_tax.py
tau: 0.2500p_value: 0.0100r_minus_g: 0.1215statistic: 52.3840
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_growth_tax.py
N: 6748.0000R2_HO: 0.0330p_value: 0.0000statistic: 4.1660
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_ho_vs_ces.py
N_pairs: 528.0000statistic: 0.5749trade_weighted_GL: 0.5749
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_ho_vs_ces.py
kurtosis: 16200.1048statistic: 16200.1048N_products: 59352.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_ho_vs_ces.py
p_value: 0.3718statistic: 0.0260
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_horse_race_oos.py
statistic: 14.0000d1_d2_ratio: 0.8061forecast_p2r: 23.0000forecast_error_pct: -39.1304
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_horse_race_oos.py
mc_mean: 1.0466p_value: 0.0000statistic: 1.1969
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_horse_race_oos.py
n_shocks: 4.0000n_correct: 4.0000statistic: 4.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_horse_race_oos.py
p_size: 0.4006r_size: 0.2440p_value: 0.0131p_growth: 0.2882
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_horse_race_oos.py
r2_train: 0.9847statistic: 61.8790beta_train: 0.3890naive_mape: 117.7363
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_horse_race_oos.py
p_value: 0.5020n_sectors: 12.0000statistic: -0.2151spearman_rho: -0.2150
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_housing_finance_lead.py
ratio: 0.6447statistic: 0.6447norm_S_fro: 1.3586n_industries: 71.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_k_weighted_conservation.py
excluded: [
"GFE",
"GFGD",
"GFGN",
"GSLE",
"GSLG",
"HS",
"ORE"
]statistic: 0.6293n_industries: 64.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_io_antisymmetry.py
statistic: 0.6447prediction: [0.40, 0.70]n_industries: 71.0000n_complex_pairs: 23.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_io_antisymmetry.py
p_value: 0.0000std_top3: [
0.046287394323217955,
0.06814551603189713,
0.07764916703461695
]svd_top3: [
0.2971615009192998,
0.2971615009192995,
0.28259101637251305
]statistic: 0.5315
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_k_weighted_conservation.py
statistic: 1.0000n_industries: 71.0000svd_smallest_5: [
0.0010909707307496525,
0.001090970730749646,
0.0005716699228206184,
0.0005716699228206179,
1.1496533375353067e-16
]total_sum_zero: True
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_k_weighted_conservation.py
q25: -0.6800q75: 0.9600statistic: 0.1800median_sigma: 0.1800
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_industry_sigma_estimation.py
n_mfg: 23.0000n_svc: 37.0000p_value: 0.0070statistic: 608.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_industry_sigma_estimation.py
p_value: 0.0110n_matched: 68.0000statistic: -0.2680
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_industry_sigma_estimation.py
statistic: 75.0000n_valid_sigma: 75.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_industry_sigma_estimation.py
N: 39.0000p_value: 0.8518statistic: 0.0309spearman_p: 0.8518
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_inequality_ces.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_inference_capex_deceleration.py
n_years: 5.0000p_value: 0.5046statistic: -0.4000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_inflation_threshold.py
n: 64.0000p_value: 0.1624statistic: -0.0331
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_inflation_threshold.py
p_value: 0.8729statistic: -0.1000n_quintiles: 5.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_inflation_threshold.py
n: 64.0000p_value: 0.6445statistic: 0.0021
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_inflation_threshold.py
n: 144.0000r2: 0.6681p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.8698
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_information_economics.py
n: 143.0000t: 1.9199p_value: 0.0285statistic: 0.1727
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_information_economics.py
n_low: 90.0000n_high: 54.0000p_value: 0.0001slope_low: 1.3004
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_information_economics.py
n: 67.0000r2: 0.3787p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.2790
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_information_economics.py
statistic: 139.0000n_countries: 139.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_international_sigma.py
p_value: 0.8940statistic: -0.1070n_countries: 139.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_international_sigma.py
statistic: 0.9450n_countries: 139.0000median_sigma: 0.9450
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_international_sigma.py
p_value: 0.0190statistic: 0.1770n_countries: 139.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_international_sigma.py
p_value: statistic: 1.0005
tests/foundations/test_isoquant_geometry_computational.py
p_value: 0.0344statistic: -12.3300
tests/curvature_roles/test_isoquant_curvature_empirical.py
p_value: statistic: 1.0000
tests/foundations/test_isoquant_geometry_computational.py
p_value: 0.4840statistic: 0.0048
tests/curvature_roles/test_isoquant_curvature_empirical.py
p_value: statistic: 0.0005
tests/foundations/test_isoquant_geometry_computational.py
p_value: statistic: 0.0000
tests/foundations/test_isoquant_geometry_computational.py
p_value: statistic: 0.0000
tests/foundations/test_isoquant_geometry_computational.py
p_value: 0.0000n_sectors: 71.0000statistic: 0.2861rowsum_ratio: 0.2861
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_jacobian_triangularity.py
p_value: 0.9990n_sectors: 71.0000statistic: 1.7934lower_frobenius: 0.9968
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_jacobian_triangularity.py
p_value: 0.3260n_sectors: 19.0000statistic: 0.8485lower_frobenius: 0.7324
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_jacobian_triangularity.py
p_value: 0.0000n_sectors: 71.0000statistic: 0.2861lower_frobenius: 1.9678
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_jacobian_triangularity.py
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_jarzynski_reversibility.py
n_obs: 636.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.1885sign_correct: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_keff_credit_spreads.py
r2: 0.0651n_low: 509.0000n_high: 127.0000p_value: 0.5847
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_keff_credit_spreads.py
n_total: 10433.0000p_value: 0.0001n_crisis: 3168.0000n_normal: 7265.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_keff_discontinuity.py
statistic: 3.0000n_crisis_correct: 3.0000n_crisis_episodes: 3.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_keff_discontinuity.py
p_value: 0.1320statistic: 1.5950permutation_p: 0.1320n_permutations: 2000.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_keff_discontinuity.py
p_value: 0.0001statistic: 2.0000criteria_passed: 2.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_keff_discontinuity.py
n: 74.0000p_value: 0.0556statistic: -0.1867p_two_tailed: 0.1112
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_kyles_lambda.py
n: 74.0000p_value: 0.0124delta_r2: 0.0561statistic: 6.5962
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_kyles_lambda.py
n: 74.0000r2: 0.4043n_h1: 37.0000n_h2: 37.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_kyles_lambda.py
p_value: 0.5755statistic: 0.2167n_industries: 9.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_labor_matching.py
p_value: 0.0107mean_eti: 0.3330n_studies: 10.0000statistic: 0.2650
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_labor_elasticity.py
p_value: 0.0100statistic: 0.7706all_positive: 1.0000mean_implied_eti: 0.7706
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_labor_elasticity.py
cv: 0.0879mean_ls: 0.5152p_value: 0.0000n_states: 51.0000
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_labor_elasticity.py
std_a: 0.1839mean_a: 1.7111p_value: 0.0246statistic: 1.7111
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_labor_elasticity.py
p_value: 0.0100pareto_a: 1.8000statistic: 0.7672actual_rate: 0.4200
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_labor_elasticity.py
p_value: 0.3807statistic: -0.1111n_industries: 9.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_labor_matching.py
p_value: 0.3558statistic: -0.3500n_industries: 9.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_labor_matching.py
N: 5981.0000R2: 0.1636p_value: 0.6782statistic: 0.0043
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_laffer_curve.py
emd_neff: 5.0000statistic: 0.0000leontief_neff: 5.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_leontief_spectral.py
statistic: 5.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_leontief_spectral.py
sigma_1: 1.3954sigma_2: 0.6955statistic: 2.0065
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_leontief_spectral.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.8181random_mean: 0.6904
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_leontief_spectral.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_long_tail_niche_dominance.py
reason: fewer than 6 recession observationsn_recessions: 2.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_low_rate_deeper_crises.py
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_management_complementarity.py
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_merger_premium.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_mesh_frontier_convergence.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_mesh_model_collapse_threshold.py
p_value: 0.2410statistic: -0.3214spearman_r: -0.3214n_recessions: 7.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_minsky_rho_shift.py
n_obs: 3782.0000p_value: 0.0002statistic: -0.0600
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_model_collapse_detection.py
n_obs: 3782.0000p_value: 0.0006n_groups: 62.0000statistic: -0.0557
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_model_collapse_detection.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.0982n_very_low_j: 671.0000n_very_high_j: 305.0000
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_model_collapse_detection.py
ratio: 2.5533statistic: 2.5533resist_2050: 48.1719accommodate_2050: 122.9954
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_monetary_schism.py
gap_pct: 23.7093dual_2050: 202.9583fiat_2050: 164.0606statistic: 23.7093
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_monetary_schism.py
statistic: 0.3215gap_positive: 1.0000gap_increasing: 1.0000lucas_gap_2050: 0.3215
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_monetary_schism.py
n_tests: 8.0000n_robust: 8.0000statistic: 1.0000robustness_fraction: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_monetary_schism.py
t_star: 2032.0000statistic: 2031.0000year_error: 1.0000inflection_year: 2031.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_monetary_schism.py
interior: Truestatistic: 0.3300tipping_share: 0.3300
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_monetary_schism.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: -0.2570
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_mp_degradation.py
p_value: 0.7147n_windows: 21.0000statistic: 0.0952
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_mp_degradation.py
p_value: 0.0417statistic: -1.0000multipliers: [
8.67012987012987,
7.227272727272734,
3.4602272727272734,
2.215719696969697
]
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_mp_degradation.py
statistic: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_mp_degradation.py
p_value: 0.9926n_points: 7.0000slerp_rss: 0.0001statistic: 0.9926
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_natural_gradient.py
total: 2.0000p_value: 0.2500statistic: 1.0000slerp_wins: 2.0000
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_natural_gradient.py
n_obs: 23.0000p_value: 0.0500aic_slerp: -30046.7678slerp_rss: 0.0003
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_natural_gradient.py
p_value: 1.0000n_points: 16.0000slerp_rss: 0.0001statistic: 1.0086
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_natural_gradient.py
p_value: 0.0500distances: {
"Recession 2007": 0.0823770084050925,
"Recession 2020": 0.09742738009000447
}statistic: 1.1827
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_natural_gradient.py
monotone: 1.0000ir_values: [
0.1372696844021697,
0.12529745523029145,
0.11234835898016254,
0.08735290470400951,
0.06832166304639466
]statistic: 0.4977
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_nber_ces_emergence.py
statistic: 0.9440
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_nber_ces_emergence.py
statistic: 0.0456
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_nber_ces_emergence.py
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_neff_innovation_cycle.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 18226615441.1927N_countries: 28.0000fiedler_value: 18226615441.1927
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_network_laplacian.py
year: 2022.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.0001tolerance: 186.4541
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_network_laplacian.py
statistic: 0.0098fiedler_value: 18226615441.1927max_eigenvalue: 1864540996617.4521normalized_gap: 0.0098
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_network_laplacian.py
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_new_tech_low_rho.py
n_obs: 8424.0000t_stat: 1.5394p_value: 0.1496n_months: 648.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_arrow_prediction.py
p_low: 0.2127p_high: 0.2859p_value: 1.0000nfci_q25: -0.6040
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_arrow_prediction.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_nonlinear_knowledge_acceleration.py
p_value: 0.0223n_obs_pre: 24.0000statistic: -0.0030interpretation: Differential pre-trends detected
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
r2: 0.9367ci_95: [-0.0245, -0.0031]n_obs: 42.0000n_years: 14.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
statistic: 0.4079
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: -0.0074
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 0.3910
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 0.4220
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
passes: 3.0000sample: robuststatistic: 3.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 0.2714
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
raw_asym: 0.2714statistic: 0.1600reduction_pct: 41.0580
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 2.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 1.4117
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_onsager_reciprocity.py
statistic: 0.4885predicted_range: [0.5, 0.8]estimated_ceiling: 0.4885
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_open_weight_share.py
r2_linear: 0.9800statistic: 0.9986aic_linear: -15.0500r2_logistic: 0.9986
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_open_weight_share.py
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_optimal_firm_scope.py
statistic: 0.2654counterclockwise: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_perez_limit_cycle.py
n_years: 43.0000p_value: 0.1144statistic: -0.3367year_range: 1971-2013
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_perez_limit_cycle.py
diff_pp: 3.4600p_value: 0.0696perm_95th: 3.4600statistic: 3.4609
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_perez_turning_point.py
swing_pp: 8.5000peak_year: 2000.0000statistic: 8.5002trough_year: 2003.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_perez_turning_point.py
recovered: 1.0000statistic: 1.0000trough_year: 2003.0000recovery_year: 2006.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_perez_turning_point.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_phi_eff_benchmark.py
n_years: 13.0000p_value: 0.1223statistic: 0.4505mean_K_bar: 0.6427
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_phillips_curve_k.py
statistic: 3.7452mean_normal: 1.2683mean_recession: 4.7500
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_potts_crystallization.py
statistic: 2.1554normal_mean: 0.2747recession_mean: 0.5921
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_potts_crystallization.py
max_cusum: 2.7541statistic: 2.7541break_year: 1992.0000
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_potts_crystallization.py
p_value: 0.0000n_groups: 3.0000statistic: 238.5772adj_med_LOW: 1.3980
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_procurement_poic.py
adj_LOW: 1.3980adj_HIGH: 1.3447statistic: 0.0533adj_MEDIUM: 1.4898
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_procurement_poic.py
n: 1174.0000r2: 0.0515p_value: 0.0002statistic: -0.0570
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_procurement_poic.py
p_value: 0.0780n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: -0.6149
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_procurement_poic.py
t_stat: 5.6133p_value: 0.0000n_groups: 62.0000intercept: 1.1618
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_productivity_dispersion.py
n_obs: 3782.0000t_stat: 36.1896p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.7141
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_productivity_dispersion.py
p_value: 0.0000n_groups: 62.0000statistic: 0.5476
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_productivity_dispersion.py
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_prudence_locking.py
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_r0_cross_layer_activation.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.4753
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_recession_depth_by_K.py
p_value: 0.0013statistic: 0.3966
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_recession_depth_by_K.py
p_value: 0.0003statistic: -0.4218
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_recession_depth_by_K.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 15.6276
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_recession_depth_by_K.py
n_total: 4.0000statistic: 4.0000n_correct_sig: 4.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_recession_depth_by_K.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_regime_shift_speed.py
depth: 5.0000n_valid: 2000.0000macro_ir: 0.2339statistic: 0.1910
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_rg_flow_simulation.py
N: 38.0000p_value: 0.9818statistic: -0.0038year_range: 1979-2016
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_four_channels.py
N: 38.0000p_value: 0.8700statistic: 0.0275year_range: 1979-2016
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_four_channels.py
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_four_channels.py
N: 7.0000p_value: 0.6254statistic: 0.0101year_range: 2005-2021
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_four_channels.py
p_value: 0.6254statistic: 0.0113channels_tested: 3.0000channels_consistent: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_four_channels.py
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_vshape.py
n_waves: 3.0000p_value: 1.0000n_vshape: 0.0000statistic: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_vshape.py
N: 6.0000p_value: 0.7872statistic: -0.1429spearman_r: -0.1429
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_search_matching.py
N: 13.0000R2: 0.3463ols_p: 0.0026p_value: 0.3440
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_search_matching.py
n: 9.0000p_perm: 0.7176p_scipy: 0.5755p_value: 0.7176
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_sectoral_ramsey.py
n: 9.0000p_perm: 0.6934p_scipy: 0.6368p_value: 0.6934
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_sectoral_ramsey.py
statistic: -0.0008mean_tau_low_sigma: 0.0213mean_tau_high_sigma: 0.0221
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_sectoral_ramsey.py
cv: 0.3449n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: 0.3449
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_sectoral_ramsey.py
cv: 0.3828n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: 0.3828
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_sectoral_ramsey.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_settlement_binding_constraint.py
best_rho: 0.1086statistic: 0.3030best_sigma: 1.1218
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_solow_decomposition.py
n_valid: 216.0000p_value: 0.0000rho_mean: -0.0049statistic: 0.9459
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_solow_decomposition.py
statistic: -0.0001expansion_drho_mean: 0.0011recession_drho_mean: 0.0010
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_solow_decomposition.py
p_value: 0.0002rho_std: 0.5651rho_mean: -0.3767n_rolling: 156.0000
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_solow_decomposition.py
best_rho: 0.1086statistic: 0.0918r_squared_pct: 9.1792
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_solow_decomposition.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_specialization_before_generalization.py
q1: 1.0000q3: 1.1209iqr: 0.1208statistic: 6.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_spectral_eigenvalue_clusters.py
max_gap: 0.2516statistic: 6.0000median_gap: 0.0013gap_threshold: 0.0287
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_spectral_eigenvalue_clusters.py
max_gap: 0.2516statistic: 191.0225median_gap: 0.0013n_eigenvalues: 71.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_spectral_eigenvalue_clusters.py
best_k: 2.0000statistic: 0.7449silhouette_scores: {
"2": 0.7449,
"3": 0.6777,
"4": 0.5731,
"5": 0.6068,
"6": 0.5586,
"7": 0.5875,
"8": 0.5298
}
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_spectral_eigenvalue_clusters.py
r2: 0.1112n_obs: 319.0000p_value: 0.0923statistic: -0.3001
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_stablecoin_treasury.py
p_value: 0.0956best_lag: 2.0000statistic: 2.3652
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_stablecoin_treasury.py
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_standardization_rate.py
p_value: 0.0000n_obs_pre: 40.0000statistic: 0.0047interpretation: Differential pre-trends detected
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
r2: 0.9181ci_95: [-0.0101, 0.0199]n_obs: 54.0000n_years: 18.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
p_value: 0.0596statistic: 0.0099did_estimate: 0.0099treat_change: 0.0110
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
p_value: 0.2500weights: {
"DNK": 0,
"FIN": 0,
"NOR": 1
}pre_mspe: 0.0005n_placebo: 3.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
r2: 0.9112ci_95: [-0.0023, 0.0222]n_obs: 100.0000n_years: 25.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
r2: 0.9520ci_95: [0.0281, 0.0595]n_obs: 100.0000n_years: 25.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
reason: Insufficient post-period tax revenue data
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_fair_inheritance_sweden_did.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.7011subtest1_verdict: CONSISTENTsubtest2_verdict: AMBIGUOUS
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_t_digitization_decline.py
t_stat: 0.4840p_value: 0.6286statistic: 0.0000decade_stats: [
{
"gap": 0.004180041717730521,
"decade": "1990s",
"it_disp": 0.00965587609110141,
"nit_disp": 0.01383591780883193
},
{
"gap": 0.001513816141769951,
"decade": "2000s",
"it_disp": 0.010827302414782834,
"nit_disp": 0.012341118556552785
},
{
"gap": 0.0048281152197980955,
"decade": "2010s",
"it_disp": 0.007129751729170686,
"nit_disp": 0.01195786694896878
}
]
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_t_digitization_decline.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.7011ratio_it_over_nit: 0.7011it_mean_dispersion: 0.0099
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_t_digitization_decline.py
t_stat: 11.1153p_value: 0.0000se_slope: 0.0278intercept: -1.5667
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_t_overidentification.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.5189n_industries: 364.0000
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_t_overidentification.py
n_obs: 293.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.5250
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_t_overidentification.py
ginis: {
"0.0": 0.1736,
"0.5": 0.185,
"1.0": 0.2139,
"2.0": 0.2722,
"5.0": 0.3251,
"-0.5": 0.1814,
"-2.0": 0.2384,
"-5.0": 0.2808
}gini_0: 0.1736gini_5: 0.3251p_value: 0.0100
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_tail_exponent.py
p_value: 0.0100kurtoses: {
"0.0": 1.762,
"0.5": 2.018,
"1.0": 5.93,
"2.0": 19.903,
"5.0": 24.324,
"-0.5": 1.607,
"-2.0": 1.167,
"-5.0": 1.369
}statistic: 9.8630kurtosis_ratio: 9.8600
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_tail_exponent.py
p_value: 0.0100statistic: 21.0239delta_low_regime: 0.8510transition_ratio: 21.0200
thesis-tests/tests/curvature_roles/test_tail_exponent.py
ratio: 0.7151p_value: 0.5000revenue_B: 7008.0000statistic: 0.7151
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_tax_structure.py
p_value: 0.0100profits_B: 3469.0000statistic: 0.1363profit_share: 0.1363
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_tax_structure.py
ratio: 0.6537p_value: 0.0100statistic: 0.6537eff_labor_rate: 0.3134
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_tax_structure.py
p_value: 0.0100statistic: 0.6826labor_share: 0.6826capital_share: 0.1640
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_tax_structure.py
eti: 0.3500p_value: 0.0500pareto_a: 1.8000tau_star: 0.6135
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_tax_structure.py
statistic: 2030.0000latest_data_year: 2030.0000predicted_crossing: ~2028
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_tech_cycle_predictions.py
p_value: 0.0513statistic: -0.9487
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_tech_cycle_predictions.py
n_total: 3.0000n_correct: 3.0000statistic: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_tech_cycle_predictions.py
mape_pct: 7.2500n_cycles: 4.0000statistic: 0.9944
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_tech_cycle_predictions.py
statistic: 0.2512n_technologies: 25.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_tech_cycle_predictions.py
thesis-tests/tests/foundations/test_temperance_ratio.py
error: KeyError: 'value'traceback: Traceback (most recent call last):
File "/home/jonsmirl/thesis/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/pandas/core/indexes/base.py", line 3641, in get_loc
return self._engine.get_loc(casted_key)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "pandas/_libs/index.pyx", line 168, in pandas._libs.index.IndexEngine.get_loc
File "pandas/_libs/index.pyx", line 197, in pandas._libs.index.IndexEngine.get_loc
File "pandas/_libs/hashtable_class_helper.pxi", line 7668, in pandas._libs.hashtable.PyObjectHashTable.get_item
File "pandas/_libs/hashtable_class_helper.pxi", line 7676, in pandas._libs.hashtable.PyObjectHashTable.get_item
KeyError: 'value'
The above exception was the direct cause of the following exception:
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "/home/jonsmirl/thesis/thesis-tests/run_all.py", line 65, in run_test
results = mod.main()
^^^^^^^^^^
File "/home/jonsmirl/thesis/thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_diversity.py", line 341, in main
recession = _get_recession_depths()
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "/home/jonsmirl/thesis/thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_diversity.py", line 294, in _get_recession_depths
year_vals = dict(zip(grp['year'].astype(int), grp['value'].astype(float)))
~~~^^^^^^^^^
File "/home/jonsmirl/thesis/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/pandas/core/frame.py", line 4378, in __getitem__
indexer = self.columns.get_loc(key)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
File "/home/jonsmirl/thesis/.venv/lib/python3.12/site-packages/pandas/core/indexes/base.py", line 3648, in get_loc
raise KeyError(key) from err
KeyError: 'value'
thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_rho_diversity.py
out_of: 2.0000statistic: 2.0000
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: -0.1929
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 1.2896final_rate: 0.0907inter_rate: 0.1170
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 1.5891final_rate: 0.1774inter_rate: 0.2819
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
p_value: 0.0384final_var: 1.3470inter_var: 0.0644statistic: 0.0478
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
p_value: 0.0000base_rate: 0.0904statistic: 1.6895spearman_r: 0.0568
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
n_modes: 2.0000ashman_D: 1.3775statistic: 0.6601
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_collapse.py
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_conservation_laws.py
n_obs: 9781.0000p_value: 0.0000partial_r: -0.1283statistic: -0.2125
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_spectral_gap.py
n_years: 28.0000p_value: 0.2533statistic: 0.2233
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_trade_spectral_gap.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_agent_emergence.py
n_orgs: 7.0000n_runs: 12.0000p_value: 1.0000hhi_cost: 0.2184
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_centralization.py
n_total: 12.0000p_value: 1.0000fraction: 1.0000statistic: 1.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_centralization.py
statistic: 0.1667org_shares: {
"xAI": 0.083,
"Meta": 0.167,
"Google": 0.167,
"OpenAI": 0.167,
"Mistral": 0.083,
"DeepSeek": 0.083,
"Anthropic": 0.25
}hhi_by_cost: 0.2184hhi_by_count: 0.1667
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_centralization.py
p_value: 0.0006mean_gap: 0.0517statistic: 0.0517mean_n_firms: 5.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_inference.py
n_years: 8.0000p_value: 0.0010hhi_slope: -0.0104statistic: 0.9258
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_inference.py
reason: No inference data available
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_inference.py
n_years: 6.0000p_value: 0.3452mean_hhi: 0.2572statistic: 0.2572
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_training_inference.py
n_sig: 9.0000n_total: 17.0000statistic: 0.5294
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_tsallis_tails.py
N: 17.0000R2: 0.0323slope: -0.2985p_value: 0.4898
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_tsallis_tails.py
n_sectors: 17.0000statistic: 0.7059mean_q_hat: 1.0089n_significant_05: 12.0000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_tsallis_tails.py
cv: 0.0069se: 0.0012note: Gap from 1.0 is production taxes minus subsidies, not CRS violationn_years: 28.0000
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_two_factor_ces.py
cv: 0.0870std_ls: 0.0448mean_ls: 0.5152p_value: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_two_factor_ces.py
n: 27.0000p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.9630same_sign_frac: 0.9630
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_two_factor_ces.py
rho: 0.1592note: Trending variables — ideally use first differences or cointegrationsigma: 1.1893slope: 0.1592
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_two_factor_ces.py
se: 0.0019p_value: 0.0000n_states: 51.0000statistic: 0.9352
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_two_factor_ces.py
statistic: -1.1250n_restricting: 3.0000restrict_specificity: 0.0000nonrestrict_specificity: 1.1250
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_two_sided_pricing.py
statistic: 0.6957rho_symmetric: [
-0.7391304347826086,
-0.04347826086956519
]passthrough_range: [
0.5217391304347826,
0.8695652173913043
]
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_two_sided_pricing.py
N: 25.0000R2: 0.0448p_value: 0.3369statistic: -8.7231
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_two_sided_pricing.py
N: 25.0000R2: 0.0420p_value: 0.3302statistic: -8.8769
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_two_sided_pricing.py
p_value: 0.7434statistic: 2.3417low_spread: 17.4583high_spread: 19.8000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_two_sided_pricing.py
thesis-tests/tests/hierarchy/test_upstream_reform.py
n: 210.0000p_value: 0.0002statistic: -0.1725era_mean_2000_05: 1.1400
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_usmpd_absorption.py
n: 253.0000p_value: 0.7464statistic: 0.0137
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_usmpd_absorption.py
n: 274.0000p_value: 0.0062statistic: -0.1110era_mean_bp_2006_11: 3.9000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_usmpd_absorption.py
n: 84.0000p_value: 0.0269statistic: -0.1644overall_reversal_rate_pct: 40.0000
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_usmpd_absorption.py
n: 85.0000p_value: 0.4037statistic: 0.0617
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_usmpd_absorption.py
auc: 0.6046p_value: 0.0010statistic: 0.6046threshold: 0.6000
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_variance_crisis_signal.py
auc: 0.7940p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.7940threshold: 0.6500
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_variance_crisis_signal.py
p_value: 0.0000statistic: 0.7940auc_6m_ahead: 0.6046verd_6m_ahead: CONSISTENT
thesis-tests/tests/potential/test_variance_crisis_signal.py
thesis-tests/tests/applications/test_variety_expansion_rate.py
bw_iqr: [
1.7958563,
4.336986025
]bw_median: 2.6053statistic: 1.5083N_products: 2680.0000
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_variety_growth.py
b2_sign: convexp_value: 0.0000statistic: 1.2522R2_quadratic: 0.4861
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_variety_growth.py
N: 67.0000R2: 0.3882p_value: 0.0001statistic: 1.9673
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_variety_growth.py
N: 41.0000R2: 0.0131p_value: 0.2869statistic: 0.1844
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_variety_growth.py
active: 4.0000p_value: 1.0000skipped: 0.0000statistic: 0.0000
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_wage_complementarity.py
p_value: 0.7324n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: 0.1333spearman_r: 0.1333
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_wage_complementarity.py
p_value: 0.3085n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: 0.3833spearman_r: 0.3833
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_wage_complementarity.py
p_value: 0.7001n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: -0.1500spearman_r: -0.1500
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_wage_complementarity.py
p_value: 0.7324n_sectors: 9.0000statistic: 0.1333spearman_r: 0.1333
thesis-tests/tests/macro/test_wage_complementarity.py
p_value: 0.6188mean_hhi: 0.1810N_sectors: 21.0000statistic: -0.1153
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_weight_concentration_entry.py
se: 0.0005N_obs: 1239.0000slope: -0.0001p_value: 0.8768
thesis-tests/tests/entry_exit/test_weight_concentration_entry.py