Tests / crisis_count_great_moderation

Crisis Count Great Moderation

AMBIGUOUSDynamics & CrisesMEDIUM confidence

Description

Figures

Crisis Count: Recession Frequency by Kondratieff Wave and Great ModerationCrisis Count: Recession Frequency by Kondratieff Wave and Great Moderation

Statistics

p value0.2450
poisson p0.2450
statistic-1.1966
frequency decline1.2000
pre moderation span36
post moderation span40
expected post under H06.3000
pre moderation recessions8
post moderation recessions4
pre moderation freq per decade2.2200
post moderation freq per decade1.0300

Script

thesis-tests/tests/dynamics/test_crisis_count_ceiling.py

Reproduction Steps

cd thesis-tests && source ../.venv/bin/activate
python download_data.py --source all
python run_all.py --test test_crisis_count_ceiling