Baumol Bottleneck
AI capability converges to frontier training rate regardless of inference speed. No singularity.
Impact Score
Score Reasoning
- Importance
- Key result linking AI capability growth to the slowest layer. The Baumol ceiling prevents AI singularity and is mathematically identical to the Triffin contradiction at the next level.
- Novelty
- Extends Baumol's cost disease from two-sector to N-level hierarchy. The identification of Baumol bottleneck and Triffin contradiction as the same slow-manifold constraint is a new connection.
- Quality
- Clear exposition with good LaTeX, well-structured sections covering formal statement, implications, and connection to Triffin contradiction. Strong cross-links.